8-29-19

Race 1

Aubrey Tate

7-31-19

Race Note:  Was 7-2 ML.  There was only 1 horse that was bet in here and that was eventual 3-5* that went wire to wire in a jog. Hypothesizing that most of these weren’t firing first time out and pay attention to every 2nd timer in here – if bet, there was a good chance they were trying for “today.”

Trip Note:  Away OK.  Wasn’t slow from stalls but field broke as one and this one was maybe ¼ of a length slower than the rest.  Outquicked early.  Watched this replay two times from each angle.  Never saw her get jostled and never saw her climbing.  She was at rail down backstretch and on hold.  Pausing at the back entering far turn when two runners in front of her made progress impossible.  Split early in the turn and began making up some ground while easing from the wood.  Running well by late turn and above average stretch, but will likely get overbet due to a trouble line that I simply can’t find.

Surprise Arrival

8-15-19

Race Note:  Was 10-1 ML.  Raced against OPENS.  Seven of the 10 horses were FTS.  Brad Cox wins.  Aside from early leader that caved badly, speed dominated the race.

Trip Note:  Leapt from gate and when she came down she bobbled a bit. Bad start but surprisingly she wasn’t far back.  This one is an athlete.  Was running fine down the backstretch and working to hold her spot when the turn came.  Pushed inward by outside foe and came very close to rail.  Shuffled and lost 3 positions.  Rider gave up from here, actually looking back to see where he could stay out of the way for others.  Didn’t switch leads until late in the stretch but was one of those that looked OK not switching.  Expecting big improvement and will be betting my own money.

Barker Lane

7-31-19

Race Note:  Was 20-1 ML.  There was only 1 horse that was bet in here and that was eventual 3-5* that went wire to wire in a jog. Hypothesizing that most of these weren’t firing first time out and pay attention to every 2nd timer in here – if bet, there was a good chance they were trying for “today.”

Trip Note:  Away fine. Clean.  Showed average speed while swishing her tail a couple of times early.  Gradually backed up throughout with no apparent excuse.

Keypit

7-11-19

Race Note:  Was 12-1 ML.  Be careful with figs on this day. Track started as fast and then it started pouring.  Track became sloppy. 

Trip Note:  Was away pretty well and clean.  Pace for these seemed on the faster side and validated by closers running 1-2.  Allowed to settle in mid-pack early.  Asked to get out of 2nd gear into far turn but deeper marker went by this one’s outside.  To rail in turn and saving ground.  Never able to pick up duelers in a race that I though backed up.  Will need big move up.

Race 7

Myawaya

7-17-19

Race Note:  Was 5-2 ML, dead on board.  Watch betting today.  Winner of race was the 2-1* for Joe Sharp that was bet hard.  The three with experience in here ran 1st, 2nd & 4th.

Trip Note:  Was away ½ length slow or so.  Hard ridden from the bell.  Big ask to show speed and nice blast late on backstretch while easing to the 4 path to get to the two leaders that were contesting the lead on a normal pace.  Then it happened.  The ‘ol “ask & snatch.”  Man I hate this move.  Jock asked for more speed early and when this one was picking them up Velasquez slammed on the breaks before the far turn arrived.  Almost impossible for a 2YO first timer to figure out what the heck she is supposed to do when she listens to your plea and then you slam on the breaks b.c you don’t want it any more.  3-4W though turn and no chance after rider and horse weren’t on same page. Expecting JV to give a better ride and expecting improvement for sure.

Smokin Hot Kiss

7-31-19

Race Note:  Was 15-1 ML.  There was only 1 horse that was bet in here and that was eventual 3-5* that went wire to wire in a jog. Hypothesizing that most of these weren’t firing first time out and pay attention to every 2nd timer in here – if bet, there was a good chance they were trying for “today.”

Trip Note:  Was away OK. Slightest of hind quarter bumps from inside foe early but it didn’t hurt her.  One eighth into the race she threw her head in the air and started climbing.  Clearly unhappy.  Back up from there.  Rider bumped along until top of the stretch and then started riding to see if he had anything under him but she didn’t accelerate.  Excused b.c of hatred of track – but rider testing her in lane for a bit wasn’t encouraging. Not for me.

Bellamy Bigs

7-15-19

Race Note:  6-5* cleared by 3 and had nothing.                

Trip Note:  PP’s say she was off slow.  Not true.  She broke OK and had no speed.  Was hard ridden through lane while losing ground.  Wouldn’t bet with your money.

Saratoga Beauty

8-7-19

Race Note:  Was 8-1 ML and destroyed at windows.  J. Englehard runs 1-2 with two FTS.

Trip Note:  Was off 2.5 lengths slow.  Big move to get back into the race while ignoring those all around her. Passing while in between on the backstretch. Impressive.  Stopped in her tracks while in a box entering the far turn.  Shuffled.  Fought valiantly after a ‘no chance trip’ from late in the turn to the 1/8 pole where she finally tired enough and started to lose more ground.  Impressive debut and was obviously well meant.  This one is a bully.

Canarsie Angel

8-2-19

Race Note:  Was 12-1 ML.  Second time starter for Linda Rice that had a troubled debut wins pretty easy. Place and show horses had good trips.

Trip Note:  Slight bobble away from the gate but didn’t hurt.  Decent enough speed early.  Tiny little thing.  Nudged along entering the turn and bigger ask when the turn arrived.  At rail with a ton of open air all around her.  Made up ground as she should have.  Ease out through lane to split and grab up a better placing.  Good trip overall.

Courageous Girl

7-31-19

Race Note:  There was only 1 horse that was bet in here and that was eventual 3-5* that went wire to wire in a jog. Hypothesizing that most of these weren’t firing first time out and pay attention to every 2nd timer in here – if bet, there was a good chance they were trying for “today.”

Trip Note:  Was away best from outside post.  Good speed and a nice stalking spot of the favorite who had cleared from the rail.  Field was pretty strung out and pace seemed faster than normal.  Asked to pick up the leader late in far turn but not able.  Bounced around pretty good in the stretch from a couple of closers that were going by here but she stuck in there well enough after the trouble, which was a non-factor in the outcome.  Gradually tired through lane.

Critical Value

8-7-19

Race Note:   Was 6-1 ML.  J. Englehard runs 1-2 with two FTS.

Trip Note:  Was fractious in the gate prior to race and unseated jock.  Was off 2 lengths slow.  Allowed to settle while Saratoga Beauty blasted off to this one’s inside.  Even run early and started moving down backstretch.  To rail.  Big move and through a tight opening at rail to pass a few foes.  Impressive.  Eased out late in turn and huge shot in lane.  Great run. 

Bella Invasion

8-7-19

Race Note:  Was 30-1 ML.  J. Englehard runs 1-2 with two FTS.

Trip Note:  Was off 2.5 lengths slow.  Showed nothing thereafter.

Mebs Web

8-21-19

Race Note:  Was 30-1 ML.  3-5* for Clemente lugs out badly late in stretch and gets beat.  Great “tripper” up the rail wins.

Trip Note:  Didn’t steady from the gate but did hesitate and was off 2 lengths slow.  Good enough recovery & not lose a ton a ground from momentum.  Even backstretch and was running OK when the far turn arrived, but was ½ back at rail and had to pause at the turn. Mild shuffle and loss of a position.  Glued to the rail from here in with plenty of open air all around.  Not a terrible run from a barn that never cranks first time out.

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