In this edition we speak about jockeys in dirt route races (i.e. BC Classic).

The data below is filtered for all Breeders’ Cup races (only BC races, not all races run on BC day), since 2000, at all tracks that Breeders’ Cup races have been run.

COURSEJOCKEYstartswinssecondsthirdswin_pctavg_implied_win_pctpayoutroiimpact_value
Dirt John Velazquez 66 6 7 9 9.09 10.87 71.50 1.08 0.84
Dirt Mike Smith 47 10 7 3 21.28 14.98 74.30 1.58 1.42
Dirt Javier Castellano 42 5 6 4 11.90 11.61 50.00 1.19 1.02
Dirt Victor Espinoza 35 4 5 1 11.43 11.51 136.30 3.89 0.99
Dirt Joel Rosario 34 4 3 10 11.76 9.85 50.90 1.50 1.19
Dirt Rafael Bejarano 34 4 1 3 11.76 11.49 14.60 0.43 1.02
Dirt Jerry Bailey 28 4 4 7 14.29 22.31 16.00 0.57 0.64
Dirt Edgar Prado 27 2 2 3 7.41 9.10 18.25 0.68 0.81
Dirt Garrett Gomez 26 4 4 4 15.38 12.62 19.30 0.74 1.22
Dirt Robby Albarado 23 2 1 1 8.70 6.44 10.30 0.45 1.35
Dirt Corey Nakatani 22 3 2 3 13.64 11.80 22.70 1.03 1.16
Dirt Gary Stevens 22 3 2 1 13.64 10.84 13.10 0.60 1.26
Dirt Julien Leparoux 20 1 2 4 5.00 7.57 5.50 0.28 0.66
Dirt Kent Desormeaux 20 3 1 1 15.00 7.67 28.10 1.40 1.96
Dirt Pat Day 19 1 3 0 5.26 12.59 13.30 0.70 0.42
Dirt Lanfranco Dettori 17 1 2 1 5.88 5.39 29.30 1.72 1.09
Dirt Mario Gutierrez 17 2 1 0 11.76 4.52 40.30 2.37 2.60
Dirt Alex Solis 16 1 2 3 6.25 8.63 15.20 0.95 0.72
Dirt Joseph Talamo 16 0 1 2 0.00 4.89 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dirt Martin Garcia 15 2 1 0 13.33 11.95 18.60 1.24 1.12
Dirt Calvin Borel 14 3 1 0 21.43 8.53 40.00 2.86 2.51
Dirt Cornelio Velasquez 14 3 0 0 21.43 9.20 77.55 5.54 2.33
Dirt David Flores 13 2 0 3 15.38 7.71 40.70 3.13 1.99
Dirt Patrick Valenzuela 13 1 0 0 7.69 5.71 41.70 3.21 1.35
Dirt Ramon Dominguez 13 1 3 0 7.69 11.58 8.10 0.62 0.66
Dirt Irad Ortiz, Jr. 12 0 1 0 0.00 6.76 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dirt Jose Ortiz 12 1 1 1 8.33 10.00 12.50 1.04 0.83
Dirt Ryan Moore 12 0 0 0 0.00 5.44 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dirt Jose Lezcano 11 1 1 1 9.09 10.99 3.20 0.29 0.83
  1. ROIs on the top 5 listed on the chart are all positive. I think this might be deceiving given Breeders’ Cup races are highly competitive and have very full fields with very capable horses going off at long odds. One winner at a big price could flip the script on one of these ROIs having been negative, to being solidly in positive territory.
  2. Irad and Jose Ortiz are a combined 1 for 24 in these races.
  3. Joel Rosario, similar to the above has won 4 races from 34 starters, but has surprising gotten up for third 10 times and has hit the board (first, second or third) in half of all of his starts.
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