Breeders’ Cup Turf Preview – By Alex Sausville

Breeders’ Cup Turf

By Alex Sausville

Where the European contingent for the mile may not be as strong, the group coming over for the BC Turf is definitely up to par. Obviously highlighted by last year’s winner Tarnawa looking to defend her title after two massive efforts in runner-up finishes in the Irish Champion Stakes and the Arc. I don’t particularly love her as a favorite in this race, but if you are going to play exotics I don’t think you can leave her out. She has challenged some of the toughest form of the season and where several of Europe’s top horses have shown some weaknesses with certain conditions, Tarnawa has not. 

The horse I love for this year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf is a horse that I have been in love with since his dominant efforts in the Dubai Classic & Dubai City of Gold, and that is Walton Street. It’s never easy to know how good some of these Godolphin runners are when they are putting together world class performances during the Meydan Carnival facing many of their stablemates, however it was extremely clear how good Walton Street was with just how easily he was doing it. I thought his effort in the Sheema Classic was outstanding behind three very talented runners, including Loves Only You who he will face in this spot. On top of that, the form from the Grosser Preis Von Baden could not be stronger after Alpinista took out another Group One this season in Germany and Torquator Tasso did what he did in the Arc. Overall I think he showed his ability at Woodbine, however it was a day where every Godolphin horse ran out of their skin to dominate the card for Charlie Appleby. He’s been the horse I have been waiting for and although I don’t necessarily love Del Mar for him, I think he’s one of the best 1 ½ mile stayers in the world and will show it on Saturday. 

With how high of an opinion I have currently on Walton Street, I would be remiss not to think very highly of Loves Only You in this spot as well. Has been off for a bit after running a strong 2nd behind one of the top fillies in Japan in Sodashi. She is without a shadow of a doubt Japan’s best chance this weekend and on ability I just think she is right there with many of the top mares in the division. A Grade One winner in Hong Kong, Japan and Grade One placed in Dubai, it will be no surprise to see her add America to that list.

The last horse I will give a mention to is Sisfahan, the Deutsches Derby winner of this year. Will be a big price but has been one of the most consistent gallopers in Germany and if you look at this year’s form, has been the 2nd best German horse of the season behind Torquator Tasso even before his Arc triumph. Not saying he has the same ability as Torquator Tasso, but at the same time he has that ability to put up a big effort and has never put in a bad race. Ground will be a question but is definitely worth a look.

For more in-depth analysis and final answers from the ITM Team make sure to check out the exclusive content for our ITM Plus service.  For a better idea of what we have planned, check out this post.

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