“I’m back in, the saddle, again….” After a short vacation, l’m ready to get at this Canterbury Park card, let’s do it. The picks below are assuming the races are OFF the turf today. If they are on, ignore all picks in races scheduled for turf. Lots of rain yesterday, chance of thunderstorms again today.
Key: BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot
Race 1: 4-1-2
#4 C Dub is speedy early, in great form, and goes turf to dirt. All of those factors should equate to victory unless he gets burned out early by #1 Devil’s Teeth to his inside. Lindy Wade too smart for that though, most likely will get the right trip.
Race 2: 2-6-3
#2 Muskyman is ML 5-2, but I would not bet him/trust him at those odds, even though I believe he’ll handle this field. Had a blowout win two back to break his maiden, then found the 25k N2L much too tough. This is an easier field, and he won’t have to go that fast early. Wade sweeps the double?
Race 3: 1-5-4
My two top choices here are interlopers coming in from out of town with good form and figs. #1 Brad’s Time ran two nice races at Lone Star Park outside of Dallas, with a 74 and 79 Beyer. Has lots of early speed and the rail. If he breaks, he’ll be tough. Other choice, #5 Something Super, is coming in from Iowa who can close into the speed.
Race 4: 3-6-5
As previously mentioned, I’m handicapping all turf races as dirt races today. #3 Sailing Along has two questions to answer…the extra distance and possible wet dirt. But she’s talented and drops to the lowest level of her life to 25k.
Race 5: 7-9-1
Pick 5 starts here….ABC selections below:
|
Race # |
A | B |
C |
|
5 |
7,9 | 1,5,8 |
2 |
|
6 |
3,8 | 1 |
2,5 |
|
7 |
3,8 | X |
1 |
|
8 |
2,3 | 5 |
X |
|
9 |
5,6 | 1,2,3 |
4,8 |
Caveman P5 ticket: 15789 / 38 / 38 / 23 / 12356 ($100)
#7 Modern Muse, a 5yo mare, is dropping down to 10k and in for the tag. Needs to stretch her speed to 6f, but has won at 6 1/2 on this track easily in 2019. Can either go to the lead or stalk, and juicy 9-2 ML price to boot. Not sure we’ll get that price though.
Race 6: 8-3-1
Hard to know who will race here if it comes off the turf, but #8 Let’s Skedaddle has proven she can run on dirt. In raging form on turf, and by Quality Road, so should handle the wet dirt too if it comes to that.
Race 7: 3-8-1
#3 Friendly and Kind goes from turf to dirt for trainer Broberg and jockey Eikleberry. Her dirt form is good enough, albeit most recent dirt efforts were sprinting. Big rider upgrade and off the claim too, nice combo of things to like here.
Race 8: 2-3-5 LS: 2
My longshot of the night comes in this race with the #2, Devil’s Fire (8-1 ML). Even if it stays on turf, still like this 3yo gelding. On paper, he’s the fastest one early, very beneficial for a 5f race. Has been battling for the lead in every start, but I think he can get loose here vs. these. Easier competition than what he faced at the Fairgrounds in New Orleans, and Keeneland. Has some bullets in the holster off the layoff. Needs to have more stamina and break well…both are possible.
Race 9: 6-5-1 LS: 6
Another interesting longshot, #6 Seattle See Ya (8-1 ML), for similar reasons as Race 8. Seattle drops to the lowest level of his career, has plenty of early speed, and faces a weak bunch that don’t like to pass others. Hope jock guns, slows it down a bit, and makes ’em come and catch him. Don’t think they will if he breaks loose.
