Public congratulations to Canterbury Park Paddock Analyst/Handicapper Brian Arrigoni on the birth of his twins earlier this week!
Key: BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot
Race 1: 2-1-7
Starting the day with MN-bred babies….highest Beyer of those that have run is 16, so not easy to make a pick here. #2 Angel’s Magic was slow into stride as the even-money fave first out. Blinks on and a better start all it might take to get the job done here.
Race 2: 3-7-2
I’m a sucker for turn backs, and turf to dirt. #3 Lulumaru has both in her corner, plus early speed, a good post and sharp form. Should just let the #7 go, stalk, then pounce. Hard to ignore, likely winner.
Race 3: 3-4-5 BF: 7 LS: 3
The first of my two longshots today is #3 Creative Mind (6-1 ML). Uncle Mo 3yo colt is bred for the dirt, ran on turf 1st time out, and was able to close moderately into slow fractions. Now has 2-turn experience, faces a suspect field, and trainer Robertson solid 2nd time out. Expect major improvement here.
Race 4: 10-5-13
Whoa, huge 13-horse turf toughie if race holds together. #10 Martz’s Mae has been so close in last 3 (only races on turf), losing by a neck, 1/2 length, and a head. You could say that’s a negative, I say it’s a positive…she’s in great form. She needs some luck and the right trip, but both are possible. Coming off a layoff but working well for veteran jock Butler.
Race 5: 13-2-12
P5 starts here…..ABC selections below:
Caveman Ticket: 259 12 13 / 124689 12 / 7 11 / 6 / 17 ($70)
Betting Tip: To start this p5, make sure you see the board, and the probable doubles going forward…many firsters in 1st two legs of this sequence!
How cool is this….many well-bred firsters, MN-breds in here, including a son of American Pharoah (#2), Violence (#7), and Street Sense (#13)! Going with one of the aforementioned, #13 Top Dog ($82k purchase), by Street Sense out of a Sea Hero (Ky-Derby winner) mare Cindy’s Hero, who herself earned 371k. Gelding working well for Berndt and will appreciate the 6 1/2f. Outside post not easy, but a good break might equate to a victory.
Race 6: 9-1-8
VERY tough race without a lot of proven turf form. Gonna take a stab with firster for trainer Biehler and jock Wade, #9 Dodropin. Filly is bred to be fast early by Kantharos out of damn who won almost 300k. Enough turf pedigree and decent works to softly recommend. See the board for more clues in this one.
Race 7: 11-7-4
Nice 14-horse optional-claimer alw. race on dirt….oh my, are we at Saratoga? Nope, it’s Canterbury Park! #11 Crime Spree going to try and steal a victory here. Raced vs. the #4 last time and lost to him, but that was his first race since early Feb. and was wide. Should be tighter here and hope he’s not as wide this time. Probably won’t get that 8-1 ML, but very logical with slight improvement.
Race 8: 6-2-4
If #6 Wild Behavior takes to the turf, think he’s a wire-to-wire winner. Raced well in one of two starts on synthetic and by Into Mischief, both suggesting he’ll handle the green. Excellent early speed and class to handle this big class drop. Is that a negative or a positive, you decide!
Race 9: 7-1-9 LS: 7
My 2nd longshot of the day is #7 Talking Malice (10-1 ML). 4yo gelding just won for 5k in last, now steps up slightly to 7.5k. Is bred well for 2-turns, and just might be improving. Figures to get nice stalking trip from here, Fuentes will point him in the right direction.
Leave a Reply