Key: BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot
Race 1: 2-6-5
#2 Cause I’m Leavin was very green first out. Didn’t break well, was floated wide and/or didn’t handle turn well, and just galloped through the stretch. Despite all that, still ran ok. Needs to improve, but I think gelding will do just that. Trainer fantastic 2nd out.
Race 2: 5-6-4
#5 Pretti Xtreme a bit of a guess because she’s never been on turf. But, trainer Robertson has tried to get her on turf twice only to be washed off. There’s only a little turf pedigree too….but is in great form 2nd off the layoff and trust the trainer in this situation.
Race 3: 4-1-8
Baby girls for 4 1/2 furlongs in this event, and first-time starter #4 Viva El Capitan is my choice. A $32k buy, sired by Shackleford out of a City Zip mare, is bred to fast early and works are good enough to win, especially last. Gate work in 48 1/5 good enough vs. these. Diodoro goes to Wade, nice combo.
Race 4: 4-6-7 LS: 4
#4 Sliver Dash has a few angles I like. Coming off best Beyer, turning back in distance, and facing others who are hard to trust. Needs to be ridden aggressively out of the gate, can’t be too far back.
Race 5: 5-3-7
Late P5 starts here…….ABC selections below:
|
Race # |
A | B |
C |
|
5 |
3,5 | 2,7,9 |
1 |
|
6 |
6 | 2,4,8,9 |
1,5 |
|
7 |
3 |
2,6,10,11 |
|
|
8 |
1,5,8 | 2,3,4,6 |
7 |
|
9 |
6 |
4,8 |
Caveman Ticket: 23579 / 6 / 236 10 11 / 1234568 / 6 ($87.5)
#5 Bourbon Wisdom really sharp right now for Diodoro. Needs to find hole at the right time in the stretch in this big field, but there’s enough early speed to set up his close. 3/22 record on the win end doesn’t exactly inspire, but maybe today is the day.
Race 6: 6-8-2
I have no idea if #6 Rasmus can get the 6 1/2 furlongs, the longest he’s ever gone. But, he appears to be as loose on the lead as he wants to be. Hope he can ration out his speed and get the job done…but I would not take a short price. First off the claim for Robertson.
Race 7: 3-11-10
#3 Mark in Greeley is 0/7 lifetime with only 1 2nd and1 3rd, but is taking an important drop from MdnSpWt. down to Mdn 25k claimers. Has raced well enough vs. tougher to merit strong consideration here. Comes from behind, so needs the right trip/setup.
Race 8: 1-5-8 LS: 1
My Longshot Play of the Day is the #1, Forty Nine Model (10-1 ML). Last race was a 20 Beyer, and off since then which was mid-March. But before that, had several really good turf sprint races here in Shakopee and especially in Oklahoma. Worried about the big drop, maybe can’t run anymore. But has the rail and lots of speed when she’s right. I’ll take a chance at 6-1 or higher. All or nothing type.
Race 9: 6-8-4
Likely favorite #6 Peak of Chic didn’t do much running in her debut on dirt. But that was her 1st out try and was vs. much, much tougher. Drops all the way down to Mdn 10k, and has excellent early speed to get to the front. Now or never.
