Key: BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot
Race 1: 5-3-1
#5 Last Promise should be first early and hopefully late for me as lone speed in this nice alw. event. Blinks off but still should be sent IMO, main rivals are closers. TOTALLY against the ML fave, #1, who got perfect setup last time in race that completely collapsed.
Race 2: 6-2-4 LS: 2
Usually I want early speed going 5f, but #6 Kimberly Frances just looks best on paper with enough speed to close into. Needs to be ready off layoff. #2 Strong Patriot (8-1) my longshot play, blinks off, dropping down, w/early speed, moves inside, has back numbers to compete here.
Race 3: 7-4-8 LS: 4
#7 Scent of Success should smell the winner’s circle if she can run to her breeding. 72k buy 1st time improvement from 2-3yo w/good J/T combo and works for this race. Not proven form from others here. Want to mention #4 Ellie’s Charm as a possible longshot/upsetter. Has great turf breeding 1st time out as a 3yo. Expect major improvement.
Pick 5 starts here……ABC selections:
|
Race |
A | B |
C |
|
4 |
3,6 |
1 |
|
|
5 |
1 |
4,9 |
|
|
6 |
2,3,5 |
1,4,6,7,8 |
|
|
7 |
3,5 |
1,4,7,8 |
|
|
8 |
8 | 1,3 |
4,9 |
Caveman P5: 136 / 1 / All / 134578 / 8 ($72)
Race 4: 3-6-1
#3 Dried Pepper off the claim for Broberg w/Eikleberry, a spicy combination. Broberg 25% off the claim last 5 yrs. Ran well into hot pace last time, coming back quickly but not concerned about that turnaround. Well-spotted here.
Race 5: 1-4-9 Most Likely Winner of the card: #1
#1 Let’s Skedaddle looks almost unbeatable on paper vs. these, has several races tons better than anyone in here….but it’s a horserace. Coming in w/good for from Arlington. #4 Left of Center could be the one for a major upset. 4yo Gio Ponte filly washed off the turf twice last year, should improve here. At least use underneath in tri’s and as a backup in your P5.
Race 6: 5-2-3 LS: 5
#5 My Heart Sings (8-1) an interesting filly for good connections. Trainer Rosin and jockey Chirinos should get a nice mid-pack trip in a wide-open affair. Has races on her form good enough to win, just needs the right trip. Bullet work to boot.
Race 7: 5-3-4
#5 Determined to Rise was awful last time, but was wide in the slop going much longer than gelding wants. Much easier spot for Lothenbach stables, expect big turnaround in weak field.
Race 8: 8-3-1
#8 Doodle Time looks tough here for Robertson. Has been facing tougher at Delaware, Fairgrounds, and Hawthorne. Much improved this year, best figs, bullet drill for this, ready to cash today.
