Canterbury Park Analysis – Tuesday, July 6th – by Howard Kravets

Through Week 7 Stats:  204: 67-45-43 (33%, 76% ITM)   

BF: 12/18  LS: 12/38  (Saturday LS wins, R7, pays $13.20)

Race 7-10 are Quarterhorse races (4 stakes!!) and therefore will not be covered in this blog posting. And, thunderstorms in the forecast, therefore no P5 ABC Grid due to possible scratches/surface changes.

Key:  BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot

Race 1:   5-4-7

Gonna take best outside speed in #5 Janet’s Rocket. Hope she clears early…6f is the top of her scope distance-wise, can’t get into pace battle.

Race 2:  6-3-4

Rematch of June 10th Race 4 duel. Worth watching that replay. I thought #6 Make Me Blush got shuffled back a bit in between horses and ran on well late. Lightly-raced 4yo has a big shot with better trip…tough foes though, not much separating these.

Race 3:   Turf 3-5-6   Dirt 3-2-4

#3 Thatsafactjack should be dangerous on either surface, has serious early speed to get into the game and has been effective on dirt and turf. Wire job highly likely if this gelding breaks well. Probably like a little more on wet dirt than turf.

Race 4:   Turf 8-4-9   Dirt 4-6-9

At 6-1 ML, #8 Agent Peter Graves is interesting. If on turf, this one would make his turf debut, but breeding is screaming grass and should get an easy lead if ridden aggressively. Needs to improve, but might on grass. If dirt, like #4 A Rose for Raven best, even though he raced on turf last (I know, confusing!). Has a bullet work on dirt, no reason he can’t improve 2nd out on dirt. Can win on turf too, was a bit green/pulling last time.

Race 5:   7-6-2

Not a big fan of 2/20 lifetime, but #7 Rockthepulpit sure looks logical. Best figs and will sit nice stalking trip outside the early speed. Now or never for me.

Race 6:   Turf 9-7-5  Dirt  8-13-2

#9 Caramel Angel in fine fiddle and can win close to the lead or from behind. Needs to find a spot into first turn from this fairly wide draw. If on dirt, MTO entry #8 Finn Country steps up out of win at conditioning claiming race into this alw. spot. Trainer Clinton 24% off of a win.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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