LS: Long Shots BF: Bad Favorites
Race 1: 6-2-5
Pretty weak bunch here, going with #1 Adrianna Joy, 3yo filly making 2nd start at this level. Had trouble out of the gate in last, closed nicely. Comfy inside post, should handle the distance and others in here….not much to beat.
Race 2: 6-1-3
#6 Digital Star will have to come from off the pace in a race with a very murky early pace situation….but extra 1/2 furlong will help, dropping down, and hope Lopez uses some early speed to get into position at the top of the stretch. Just seems most logical, but has to work out a trip…figs as good/better than most in here.
Race 3: 2-5-9
Pick 5 starts here………ABC selections below:
|
Race # |
A | B |
C |
|
3 |
2,5,9 | 6 |
X |
|
4 |
5 | 1,4 | 7,8,9 |
|
5 |
8 | 2,4,7 |
5 |
|
6 |
4 | 3,6,9 |
2,7 |
| 7 | 7 | 4,8 |
1,2,3,5 |
Caveman P5 ticket: 2569 / 5 / 24578 / 234679 / 7 ($60)
Tough way to start off P5 sequence…going with firster #2 Dynamometer for trainer Robertson, who is solid with debutantes. Has some quick works, meets suspect field. Jockey has rode once this meet for trainer, and won. Needs to break obviously, but has upside….bought for 20k, in here for 40k clm.
Race 4: 5-1-9
Gonna take a stand in P5 and single #5 Overly Lucky, hoping he lives up to his name. Fact is, he doesn’t need that much good fortune, just a decent trip as appears to be best on paper at this level on turf, along with the #1. Tactical or can close, back to preferred surface.
Race 5: 8-2-4 LS: 2
#8 Rasmus has two angles I’ve discussed on this blog often that have been effective….best early speed, outside post. Can break and look to his inside and see what’s going on. Doesn’t really like to pass others though, and other speed in here. Therefore, my Long Shot of the Day is the #2, Oil Colony (12-1 ML). Only horse that appears to pass horses in a race with lots of speed, an angle I like. He’s slower, but maybe the turn back and pace collapse can really upgrade him, not impossible, at least to get into the money.
Race 6: 4-6-9
MN-bred fillies going 2 turns on the turf, I’ll go with a lukewarm selection, #4 Imminent Threat for Robertson and Canchari. Consistent sort seems to be improving and well-spotted here. I suggest you spread though in your P5, many others can get the job done also.
Race 7: 7-4-8
Not sure I’ve seen this condition at the meet so far….MN-bred on turf going 5f in for optional 15k claim. The #7 Defend the Rose towers over others and has enough early speed to get into the game, dropping down from open company, and in sharp form. Like the jock switch too to Canchari. Think this filly will rate from just off the pace, and go by in the stretch at 7-5.
Races 8 – 11 are Quarter Horse races (3 of them stakes!) and therefore will not be covered in this blog…..good luck!!
