Canterbury Park Analysis – Wednesday, July 29th – by Howard Kravets

**Due to expected heat/high humidity, the first 5 races have been cancelled for today. The Quarter Horse races, Races 6-12, will be run with a starting post of 8PM EST. I will leave the below posting on this site in case the first 5 races are kept as is at a later date.

Welcome to the 2nd half of the meet! After a short hiatus, live racing is back today. Some quick stats you might be interested in so far at the meet…Canterbury Park thanks you for your continued support!

** Average handle of over $1.3mil/day is an increase of 153% from the pre-pandemic meet of 2019!

**Average purses/card are up to $235,237 per day, almost a 5% increase from 2019. 

Today’s card is a mix of thoroughbred and quarter horse races, so I’ll only be covering races 1-5 on this blog. The Pick 5 starts in Race 1, so be ready!

LS: Longshot  BF: Bad Favorite

Race 1:    5-4-2

Pick 5 selections…..ABC grid below:

Race #




4,5 2,6



1 2



3 4



2,5,7 1,4,6



2,5,9 3,7


Caveman Ticket:  2456 / 1 / 3 / 124567 / 23579  ($60)     

Race 1 starts with 2yo baby fillies, MN-breds. Check the board for more clues. #5 Lock it Down is well-bred son of Mizzen Mast out of a Stormy Atlantic mare. Bred more for turf, but working well on dirt for her debut and surface may not matter. Top connections from owner to trainer to jockey for this one.

Race 2:   1-2-6

Another baby race for MN-breds, this one for the boys. My best bet of the day comes here, with the #1 Love the Nest for Berndt and Eikleberry. Heavily-backed in debut, lost by 1 1/2 lengths, but had at least 5 lengths of trouble. A clean break from the rail, and this one is probably gone. Want to mention firster #2 Hunter Jumper, son of productive dam Peaceful Sky. Hunter’s a half to talented MN-bred, 228k earner/stakes-winner Sky and Sea.

Race 3:   3-5-4

Another short-priced likely winner is the #3 Sundance Star. Improving daughter of Fu Peg should appreciate the stretch out and doesn’t face a very talented field. She’s 0/6, but I think today is Graduation Day for her.

Race 4:   2-7-5      LS: 2   BF: 5

From a betting/wagering standpoint, things really start to become more difficult here, so plan to spread in the next two for your Pick 5. A longshot I like here in a wide-open field is #2 Westons Wildcat (8-1 ML). Made a big Beyer jump in his 4yo debut to a 66, and won’t mind the extra distance either. Inside trip coming, can lay off the abundant early speed and go by late at a price.

Race 5:   9-2-5   LS: 2

Another interesting longshot is another #2 horse, Crime Spree (10-1 ML). Trainer Heitzmann only 1/20 this meet, but is a better trainer than that. Was caught up in a wicked early pace last time (21.57 – 43.80) vs. much better. Doesn’t face nearly as difficult a test, has races on the go back that fit, and should sit a nice trip.

**As previously noted, the rest of today’s races are Quarter Horse trials. Good luck with your bets!






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