Canterbury Park Analysis – Wednesday, June 9th – by Howard Kravets

Key:  BF = Bad Favorite and LS = Longshot

Race 1:     1-2-4

#1 Timeinthetavern sure appears to be best in here, despite the long layoff. Great J/T combo, has been working well for his 2021 debut, and has by far the most upside/room for improvement.

Race 2:      1-3-5

Here are the trip notes I wrote after #1 Well Read‘s first race: “Did not break well, split horses on wrong lead, then found himself and came on nicely, good gallop out.” Perfect prep for this, and dam Stake was appropriately-named stakes-placed and wanted 2-turns.

Race 3:      6-3-1

#6 Little No Way woke up last time after a few poor efforts on the dirt. Now, goes back to the turf where the gelding had good efforts in Cal. that would easily win this race if he can find his back form.

Race 4:      2-1-6

P5 starts here……….ABC selections:

Race #

A B

C

4

1,2,6

4

5

7,9 1,2,4,8

11

6

7 2,5,6,10

1

7

2,7 1,3,4,5

6

8

3,7,8 5

2,4

I’m a sucker for turn backs, so not only is #2 Unleash the Beast cutting back in distance, he has early speed and very good numbers too; seems awfully logically, but no cinch at all.

Race 5:      9-7-4         LS: 9

Okay, so this needs some explanation. #9 Brexton (12-1 ML) had a very poor debut last year at 2yo on dirt, but this one is out of Slumber, a stakes horse on turf who earned over $1.4mil. Dam also had some babies that ran on turf, he’s making his 3yo debut for very good connections, and this race is absolutely wide open. Has worked well for this, thinking this one will improve greatly since last year’s effort due to maturity and surface switch.

Race 6:       7-6-5

#7 Sundance Star broke a bit slow and was wide in her last. She doesn’t have much to beat and should improve 2nd off the bench for jockey Lindsay who knows the horse well.

Race 7:       7-2-1

#7 Hurts So Good has been hurting his last 2 starts, finishing 9th, granted vs. much tougher at Oaklawn. Now, after some rest, he’s been working well and has tactical speed and enough experience on turf to by the leaders in stretch. Could have the lead early, too,  if he breaks well. Soft choice, but interesting.

Race 8:       8-7-3

I chose #8 Thealligatorhunter in this blog last time he ran, and he chomped on the competition with an impressive win. Now, he has to go an extra 1/2 furlong vs. winners, but should sit another good trip up close in a field lacking a lot of early speed.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

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