Charles Town Picks & Analysis – Friday, April 16, 2021

Edison Hatter — Twitter: @Edison_1999_

Most Likely Winner: Race 1- (4) MELTECH

Race 1: (4) MELTECH stretches back out and gets some major class relief. Top pick of the night! (2) AUBURN MILL comes off of a win against similar and should show early speed on the stretch out. (5) KITE SURFER is also dropping in class, but hasn’t shown a whole lot in recent starts- use with caution.

Picks: 4-2-5

Race 2: (1) RULING has the speed and tactical post position edge to take this field wire-to-wire for his second win in a row. (2) LION LORD has hit the board in two tries at the distance; he has the talent and class to be competitive here, he just needs to show enough early speed to be within range late. (5) WINDSORS FOR IT is in sharp form at the moment, having won two in a row at the distance, including last time out for new connections off the claim.

Picks: 1-2-5

Race 3: (6) C V’S CAMPFIRE had a huge career best effort last time out and she figures to get a similar trip here tonight stalking just off of the early pace before pouncing late. (4) WEST VIRGINIA PAM took a huge step forward last time out in her second start for the new barn- tougher field tonight, but she must be respected after her last effort. (3) CLUBIN TILL DAWN picked up a nice win last time out on the stretch out and will look to keep it rolling tonight against slightly tougher company.

Picks: 6-4-3

 

Race 4: (7) MOLLY BOLTS has been knocking on the door and has another great chance to break the maiden tonight- she should be forwardly placed, but will have to work out a trip from the outside post. (4) TURKISH ANGEL has shown nothing in her career so far, but has been racing against far, far tougher- the big class drop tonight should significantly help her chances here. (2) ZAP MAMA is an interesting runner who takes a drop in class and stretches out to a distance I believe she will do very well at.   

Picks: 7-4-2

Race 5: (2) PROTA rolls into this race with a three-race wire-to-wire win streak and will look to keep it going here. (4) NO REGRETS is in good form at the moment and makes his first start for a barn hitting at 20% first time off the claim. (6) BRIAN’S AVENUE takes a big step up in class, but if he can run back to his last speed figure, he should have a chance to pick up a piece here.

Picks: 2-4-6

Race 6: (6) TAKE ME HOME is likely the shortest priced favorite of the entire night and for good reason: she is 4-for-4 in the new barn and should keep things rolling tonight with another win here. (5) MY LOVELY GIRL has put forth some strong efforts against tough company. (2) LADY MACHO has raced well lately, but unfortunately runs into the top choice for the third race in a row.

Picks: 6-5-2

Race 7: (2) BOASTER has the late closing kick needed to win here in a race filled with early pace. (1) HERO’S MAN has strong back class, but doesn’t race that well from off the pace, which he may be forced to do here. (3) RUSH TO THE CASTLE has been racing well and even finished a solid second last time out after making a mess of it at the start. 

Picks: 2-1-3

 

Race 8: (4) GOOD KARMA looks to be the speed of the speed here and will look to bottom out this field and take them wire-to-wire. Given the top choice, (3) UNDENIABLE TOUCH is a must use as well, having finished just behind the top choice two starts ago. (5) SENSE OF MUSIC just broke the maiden after being sever-wide into the stretch; obviously much tougher test today, but the connections must think something of her to place her here.   

Picks: 4-3-5

Race 9: (3) ANOTHER MOVE should be the early speed here again and can take them all the way here if he doesn’t falter in the stretch as he did last time. (6) ASK ME HOW IKNOW has put in some okay races lately. He drops to the softest level of competition he has seen in his career, which should only help his chances here. (8) SUN AND SALT made a mess of his career debut, but he may be worth another look tonight.

Picks: 3-6-8

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