Charles Town Picks & Analysis – Saturday, April 17, 2021 – Edison Hatter

Edison Hatter — Twitter: @Edison_1999_

Most Likely Winner: Race 1- (5) DEREK’S BOY

Race 1: (5) DEREK’S BOY was a much the best winner last time and should repeat with a second consecutive front end score. (6) EPIC WEST is in sharp form in the moment and has particularly improved since teaming up with jockey Gerald Almodovar three starts ago. (7) FERNWOOD DRIVE has shown brilliance in the morning with some strong bullet works- he also always shows good early speed and should appreciate the class and distance drop here at Charles Town tonight.

Picks: 5-6-7

Race 2: (7) AUTS REVOLUTION takes a drop in class and is the early speed here- he should clear to the top early and he is tough to beat when allowed to roll early on the front end. (2) BRIBERY has relished his time at Charles Town, winning 3-of-4 tries, including last time out- he stretches out here to three turns for the first time. (3) ASTRO RIDER used to be a pure sprinter, but stretched all the way out to 8.5 furlongs last time out and raced a respectable fourth- he’s worth another look here in his second try at the distance.

Picks: 7-2-3

Race 3: (8) SINGING HARMONY was beaten 10 lengths at this level last time on the class drop, but was beaten by a heavy, heavy favorite that was much the best- look for her to get the job done here tonight. (9) COOK THE BOOKS exits a common race with several contenders here that came back really slow, but she was second in that bunch and should appreciate getting back to a fast track tonight, assuming there is no weather issues. (5) HOLY HOT LEGS hasn’t shown much in two lifetime starts, but the drop in class tonight should help. 

Picks: 8-9-5

Race 4: (5) SHOWTIME CAT takes a drop in class and finds a pretty soft field here: a repeat of her most recent race should be enough to get it done here. (1) STOLEN BIZ takes on winners for the first time tonight, but seems ready for the test- he seemed to like racing on the lead last time, which he will have to work hard for tonight if he wants it. (7) MINDYOURPSANDQS closed nicely last time out in a race that favored horses on the lead- may be worth a look at a price underneath.

Picks: 5-1-7

Race 5: (7) READMYMIND takes a drop in class and has reliable, top level connections in this absolutely wide open race. (3) JIMMYSEXTRAGIRL showed some ability at Thistledown last summer, but there are some question marks to answer here and I wouldn’t want to be on her as the favorite in this spot, but she definitely could be competitive here. (4) GYPSY’S IMAGE made a mess of the start last time, but could be in the mix here with a better trip.

Picks: 7-3-4

Race 6: (5) BENNY CHANG drops in class and was close last time out against tougher- he should get a good trip just off of the early speed. (9) UNIMAGINABLE U is coming off of his maiden win and is a serious contender, but has to deal with an outside post draw as well as face winners for the first time. (6) ADIOS SEE YA has been racing well in the last two and is worth a look at a price.   

Picks: 5-9-6

 

Race 7: (5) SPUNMAN always come with a nice late run and regains the services of top rider Arnaldo Bocachica. (4) MORGAN COUNTY has finished second at this level two of his last three tries and should be right in the mix again here. (3) SPANGLISH ran well against allowance winners for the first time last time out and will look to build on that momentum here.

Picks: 5-4-3

Race 8: (5) POWER FORWARD is a talented filly who is in sharp form at the moment and is making her stakes debut tonight and will look to make it a winning one. (9) SHERWOOD LADY has been racing well lately, albeit against softer company, but she is stakes placed and has plenty of back class. (10) BRIGINTINE ISLAND also enters this race in sharp form, having hit the board in her last 7 races- she will have to work out a trip from a tough post tonight though.   

Picks: 5-9-10

Race 9: (8) BACK PAGE should appreciate the turn back in distance and will likely be hustled from the gate to avoid being wide into the first turn. (7) BELLOWS has hit the board in four straight against similar and should be coming running late as always. (3) GUNS OF STEEL has admittedly shown nothing lately, but he hasn’t this soft of competition in a long time- may be worth a try in exotics.

Picks: 8-7-3

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