ITM Import Analysis for Saturday, February 20 by Steven Bonnick

Bestrella – 4-year-old filly formerly trained by Johnny Murtagh. Consistent filly who shaped well as a juvenile and on her first two starts at three. Got off the mark in a Dundalk maiden over 7f (moderate form/time although front two clear), but progressed again on her final two starts for the yard in handicaps. Finished runner-up in both of those contests but traded short in running on both occasions and was perhaps a bit unlucky not to add to her tally. Although her win came over 7, she stays 9 furlongs and will probably get an easy 10 on breeding. Seems versatile with regards ground so far and handles deep going well, although isn’t proven on firm going yet. Overall, she is a likeable sort who will surely win races in the US.

Southern Horse – 5-year-old horse formerly trained by Jessica Harrington. Appropriately named, he is a winner of three starts and was a smart horse in South America in his early days, finishing 2nd in a Group 1 at San Isidro on heavy turf, having also finished 4th on muddy dirt at the same level prior. Clearly a highly versatile horse, he seems adept on all surfaces and goings, looking to handle firm Irish turf perfectly well on his seasonal debut last year. He failed to win in Ireland but ran several good races at Listed level and gave the impression he could have scored in that grade provided a few more chances and a bit more luck. He didn’t disgrace himself when sixth in a Group 3 on his penultimate start and has form over 5-7f. Seems to be better held up and looks like the type who will benefit from a strong pace. Has started slowly on his last two starts, which is something to bear in mind. He should definitely win races based on ability.

Tulfarris – 5-year-old horse formerly trained by Charlie Fellowes. Ex-French, he was a winner at Vichy as a juvenile and ran well in Listed company when blinkered on his next start. Failed to win following a switch to a capable British yard but ran a string of good races in 2019 off marks in the high 80s/low 90s (probably the equivalent of good Allowance level), finishing second three times without doing much wrong. Finished second again on his seasonal debut last year and seemed to lose his way subsequently, as he was well beaten in a strong handicap next time out and followed that up with two dull efforts in a visor. Hard to know where he’s at now in physical or ability terms, but he is versatile regarding the going. All of his best form in the UK came on straight tracks but that was probably due to a lack of opportunities around a bend more than anything else. A mile looks his maximum distance, although a prominent ride over 7f might be his optimum. He can be a bit rank but looks the type to derive above average benefit from Lasix.

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