PTF tells JK about his new job. Our Thirsty Thursday Virtual Happy Hour is announced (sign up https://horseplayers.com/contest/611458 with video link to follow). Plus a look back at Saturday’s stakes at Fair Grounds.
Nick Tammaro hosts for PTF and welcomes Edison Hatter to cover the Elitloppet live from Sweden, Alex Henry to discuss Sunday’s...
PTF and Nick Tammaro look back at Preakness weekend and talk about National Treasure, Mage, Blazing Sevens, Arabian Lion, Taxed and More...
PTF hosts Jonathon Kinchen, Michelle Yu, and John Piassek as they go over the Preakness Day all-stakes Pick Five with a deep dive on the...
On the new show, PTF and Sean talk about Sean’s mellow betting week and reflect on the importance of not letting one hit make you too...
We kick things off with PTF asking Jessica Paquette and Jay Privman about horse racing’s current status in the American public...
Loaded show! We kick on with PTF and Nick Tammaro taking an early look at the Preakness and then pivoting to Belmont Park where they go...
Regarding the Derby futures pool, it is easy enough to determine how the postponement affected the odds. Historical data is available at thedowneyprofile.com. Focus only on the “all other 3yos” option. As the race gets closer the odds increase. In Pool 1 (a little over 5 months out), the odds are always around even money. In Pool 2 (3 months out), the odds increase to 5/2. In Pool 3 (2 months out), the odds increase further to at least 4-1. The postponement puts us back at a little over 5 months out. The importance of the time until the race is consistent and significant. My only bet this year is on “all others” in Pool 3, but even to me the unfairness of not refunding the bets is obvious. I am amazed that the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission reached out to JK (and presumably others) and decided to approve not refunding. I wonder who told them not refunding was fair.
Churchill has said they intend to go ahead with Pool 4 in April. If the odds on “all others” in that pool are not less than 4-1, I will be proven wrong.