Maiden Focus by @ThoroBredPicks (Gulfstream, February 13)

0-for-1 on Friday, with BEN COPENHAGEN finishing third @ 5/1 odds.

Gulfstream – Race 7

#11 LORD OF WAR (15/1 ml)

Interesting sort here, with a pretty crazy morning line. Formerly in the Biancone barn, this 3yo gelding closed extremely well up the inside in his turf-sprint debut after a poor start, then broke much better and showed speed when stretching out to two turns (and adding Lasix) to finish second by a nose while being claimed for $50k, a pretty good sign when you consider that Casse is hitting @ 42% off the claim (from 12 such starters). Also of note, in his first workout since the claim, LORD OF WAR worked with MRS FRANKEL, who was last seen winning a similar one-mile turf race @ Woodbine back in late October. Encouraging that Casse enters this one in a spot where he can’t be claimed back, and I can’t see any reason why he shouldn’t be competitive in here. Quick mention of another longshot, the Clement trainee  Q F SEVENTY FIVE (10/1 ml), his last two works have come in company with FLYING WITH ANGELS, who came out of those drills to finish third at Tampa yesterday (beaten less than a length in 1:22.79). Prior to that, had worked on Dec 27 with a 5yo Argentine import named RITMO DE CUECA, who ran second in a Tampa allowance on Feb 7. Probably deserves an eyeball as well.

Gulfstream – Race 12

#3 FLORIFORM (5/2 ml)

Bill Mott trainee improved dramatically after shipping in from Kentucky and switching to grass while adding Lasix, stalking the good stakes-type WINFROMWITHIN through a comfortable pace before finishing strongly to close the gap on that one through the lane (while they opened 8 lengths on the rest of the field) to miss by a half-length at the wire. Those two were flattered when third-place finisher CREW DRAGON returned to win next time out. FLORIFORM then came out of that race to work with ANTOINETTE, an older barnmate who hit the board in 7 straight stakes races before most recently finishing 8th in a Grade 3 @ Keeneland (while nearly going favored in that one, fwiw). I do find it a bit odd that Mott’s go-to rider Alvarado isn’t on board here (last-out rider Velazquez is at Fair Grounds today for the Risen Star card), but the Mott/Zayas combo has hit at 22% for a big flat-bet profit over the past year, so that appears fine.

ThoroBredPicks record:
Win record: 24-for-88 (27% winners)
Total mutuels: $206.30 ($8.60 average win price)

Leave a Reply

Further reading