The rails stay at 0 for the Friday night card, allowing for full twelve horse fields. Four of the six races on the program drew at least 12 runners, which should make for a good betting card if you can land on the right ones. I have a few brief opinions on the card, which could offer some value later on in the evening.
|1||1,4,5||DBL, PK3, PK6|
|2||10||8,11||DBL, PK3, PK5|
|3||7||DBL, PK3, PK4|
Race 1: Top Pick: 1
I’d go three deep in this race, as Chad Brown sends out two debuting horses for Klaravich Stables, Inflation Adjusted (4) and Growth Mindset (5). They’ve teamed up with several quality horses and both should be live in this race. Also give a look to Artie’s Angel (1) who might offer the best value in this field. He showed nothing early at Delaware in his first race on the turf at two turns, but he closed a ton of ground that day to get second. The pace was not ridiculously fast, which is normally the case when you see a horse make up twenty lengths in the second half of a race. If the debut runners don’t show up, he’d be most likely to pick up the pieces.
Race 2: Top Pick: 10
Andrew Simoff did very well with the few horses he brought to New Jersey during the Monmouth meet, and he sends out Ghostly Beauty (10) here. She just missed with open $8K-$7K claimers at Delaware last out. She drops a bit and faces a slightly softer group here. Fun Paddy (11) is an interesting longshot that hasn’t been in the best form on the dirt. She has some solid races on the grass back in 2020. Getting back on the grass could be what it takes for her to wake up. Michael Stidham teamed up with Isaac Castillo with a claim and drop horse here last week and they have another one tonight with Classical Magic (8) tonight. She hit some traffic last out with starter allowance company at Kentucky Downs. She ran well earlier in the year, and could very well be the class of this group. The deep drop to $5K claiming company after being claimed for $16K two back is a bit concerning though.
Race 3: Top Pick: 7
If Map The Moment (7) is right, she should be the easy winner here. She has two races on grass that are better than anything else anyone in this field has shown. This is a big drop though for a horse making her fourth start that cost her owners $140K. It’s a big field, and anything can happen, but trying to pick a horse that could beat her, while having any confidence in that pick, feels like a fool’s errand.
Race 4: Top Pick: 9
This Jersey bred optional claiming allowance drew an overflow field of 14, but it really feels like a two horse race. Like What I See (9) ran a huge race when he was passed the talented Golden Brown in the Joey P. Stakes last month. He’s won his last two starts at this level and looks better than the rest of this group. Kratos (13) will need someone to scratch in order to compete. If he’s out, Like What I See will be a heavy favorite. Kratos should take some of that money if he’s in, as he tries to clear the state bred N1X condition. He closed a ton of ground to finish a decent second in open N1X allowance company going two turns at Delaware. I don’t know if 5 Furlongs is his best trip, but he has some ability and should be on your tickets if he runs.
Race 5: Top Pick: 10
While the previous two races feel like they’ll be very chalky, I think this is a spot to play against the short prices. High Print (10) exits a win with $16K maiden claimers at Delaware last out. He’s run three quality races and now moves to John Carlisle’s barn. He does very well with new acquisitions and he gets Isaac Castillo, who rode four winners here last week, to ride. Florentine Kitten (2) has run well here in the past, and he gets some class relief in his return to East Rutherford. He has only one career win in 23 tries, but that score did come here. Double David (5) is another one that is coming here after winning his first race when facing $16K maiden claimers. That race came in June at Parx, so he’s had some time to grow. He’s a three year old taking on older horses, so there’s some upside for this longshot.
Race 6: Top Pick: 5
Band Sweetheart (5) ran well at a price to be second against a sharper field at this level at Monmouth two weeks ago. Had she been able to shake free sooner, she likely could have pulled the upset. This four year old filly is trending in the right direction. Jen’s Battle (8) may get the run of the race, sitting just off the speed. She might be better at five furlongs than some of the longer sprints she’s been running in at Belmont. Bay Jewel (7) has three strong efforts in a row and is the deserving morning line favorite. I worry a little bit about the cutback to five furlongs being too short for her though.