Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Friday, April 15, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 4/15/22

RACE 1: 2-4-5-3

#2 LAKOTA SPIRIT looks like a prohibitive favorite in the opener based on two runner-up finishes in South Florida that came against tougher fields.  She has the tactical speed to grab command from the start today and will be almost impossible to beat if isolated on an easy early lead.

RACE 2: 7-4-6-1

The best pedigree to move up on turf is that of #7 NOTHINGTOSEEHERE, who is out of a dam who produced two stakes caliber turfers including Stays in Vegas.  This colt showed nothing on debut but likely got some education and figures to improve with the experience.

RACE 3: 6-3-5-1

The last running line of #6 GUARDIAN MOON is the one that matters most, as this NY bred filly went into the deep waters. She faced a tough group of hard knocking veterans, including eventual winner Miss Auramet and had a tough trip to boot.  This represents an enormous class drop.

RACE 4: 5-1/1A-6-3

#5 SHASTA STAR was a good 3rd last time out in a race where she rallied into a moderate pace.  Things should set up better in here and she has upside going 2nd off a claim.  The presence of Hall of Famer Javier Castellano doesn’t hurt, even if her recent rider did nothing wrong.

RACE 5: 8-3-4-5

The likeliest winner on this card is #8 EXPAND THE MAP.  She was a game 2nd on debut when bet down to 1-2 and the winner of that race was subsequent BC Juvenile Turf winner Pizza Bianca.  She returns off a layoff today against a field she will overwhelm on paper.

RACE 6: 6-2-3-7

The recent form of #6 MAGNIFICENT CHROME is very strong, and he can rebound here after getting stuck inside for much of his last outing.  The rail was not ideal that day and this son of California Chrome took the worst of it.  He can improve here at a big price.

RACE 7: 5-2/2B-1/1A-6

A slight upset can come from #5 AGILITY, as this writer is still hesitant to trust Jamie Ness trainees.  This son of Practical Joke has run well in each of his four prior starts, but has to run a lot faster today to contend.  Nonetheless, he gets Lasix for the first time and should get an excellent trip from just off the pace.

RACE 8: 7-5-2-1

#7 MICROPHONE should control the pace in here from the outset for trainer Chad Brown.  He was an impressive debut winner and followed it up with a respectable second effort against a salty N1X field at Gulfstream.  The pace in the race he exits was supersonic and this gelding held gamely to save the place dough.  He should get loose in here very easily.

RACE 9: 5-6-3-2

In what has the potential to be a big day for Jorge Abreu, #5 THISMIGHTBETHEONE is interesting 2nd off a layoff. She’s cutting back in distance and while that should help her settle and make one run, she has shown ample early speed in the past.  There’s a dearth of early foot in this affair and that plays to the strengths here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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