Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Friday, April 16

AQUEDUCT – 4/16/2021

RACE 1: 5-3-13

#5 EXFILTRATION drops in class and for trainer Horacio DePaz after facing much tougher in three prior outings.  She was bet down to 2-1 when 4th behind multiple winner Brattle House in November, and there are no rivals like that one in here.

RACE 2: 1-3-5

#1 ICY DUDE moved prematurely last time out and was caught on the wire.  He is the one to beat again today facing a slightly tougher field than he did that afternoon, as he has run a number of races that tower over the best of his rivals.

RACE 3: 6-3-5-7

If it doesn’t happen today for #6 WARFRONT FIGHTER, it might never happen.  He towers over his rivals today and should win handily if he can simply duplicate what he has put forth in his last four outings.

RACE 4: 5-4-2

#5 SEVEN LILIES is a late runner who was disadvantaged by a biased racetrack last time out, as it was nearly impossible to make up ground that day.  There’s more than enough pace in this field and that should set things up for this slight longshot.

RACE 5: 7-3-2

#7 SUPREME AURA was 4th behind his stablemate last time out in the More to Tell and can best that one today with a good outside, stalking trip.  He was likely a tad too close to the pace in that event and is dangerous if he can sit back and make one run.

 

RACE 6: 8-4-2

If you believe the racetrack was tilted against closers on March 27, then #8 FLAT AWESOME JENNY is a major player here.  She still made a bold late move after lagging behind early and now returns to what is her best trip distance wise.

RACE 7: 1-5-7

#1 JUST RIGHT is in good form at the moment and gets a key rider change to Jose Ortiz this afternoon.  He has held his strong form, even improving a tad last time out for Horacio DePaz, and you’re going to get a square price in this competitive heat.

RACE 8: 1-2-3

#1 MADERA looks a bit better than her rivals in this spot and should be a tough customer on the front end.  She has big speed and used it last time to contest a hot pace before tiring late.  A similar trip in here would make her a wire-to-wire winner. 

AQUEDUCT STATS: 306-84-53-36           $498.00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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