Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Friday, March 5

AQUEDUCT – 3/5/2021

RACE 1: 5-3-2

#5 FULL MOON FEVER figures to benefit from the additional ground he’ll get in this spot, and the addition of blinkers will sharpen him in the opening stages.

RACE 2: 3-5-7

#3 MENTAL MODEL returns off a break after getting eased last time out when racing on a bad inside.  He has yet to perform to expectations for this barn, but has largely faced better competition than he does today.

RACE 3: 2-1/1A-4

#2 MR PHIL was wide the entire way last time out on a racetrack that strongly favored runners towards the inside.  He gets some class relief today and will be a square price to boot.

RACE 4: 3-4-1/1A

#3 BOURBON RISING drops in class off a poor effort for 40k and now adds blinkers.  He has had limited fast track opportunities, but they have been some of his best races and he fits this class level nicely.

RACE 5: 2-6-7

#2 DANGEROUS EDGE drops in class after making a premature move last time out and flattening out late.  He should benefit if there’s some pace in front of him and he should offer some value at the windows.

RACE 6: 5-7-1

#5 DUBLINORNOTHIN returns on short rest after racing wide the entire way last time out.  She was squarely against the track profile that day and deserves another opportunity here.

RACE 7: 5-2-7

#5 STAND FOR THE FLAG rallied gamely to snag the place dough last time out against a runner who is in a stake race on Saturday.  She should get a nice pace setup today as well.

RACE 8: 7-5-2

#7 WHAT MIGHTAVEBEEN gets Lasix and blinkers after showing speed while wide on debut.  She drops in class as well, which will greatly help her cause, and the shades should sharpen her up early.

AQUEDUCT STATS: 126-32-22-13           $328.90

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