Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Saturday, February 26, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 2/26/22

RACE 1: 1-3-6-5

#1 GALAXINA is clearly the one to beat based on a debut effort that was far better than anything any runner in here has previously put forth.  She was close to the pace and stayed on well in the unveiling, which makes her the one to catch here.  You’ll have to take a short price.

RACE 2: 4-1-5-8

#4 FOREVER WICKED has been in improving form of late and should be moving well in the lane.  He is new to the barn of Cleveland Johnson, who has been on a good run at the Big A and should get some pace to run at here.  You’ll get a solid price given the connections.

RACE 3: 7-4-6-1

The last effort from #7 REGGAE MUSIC MAN was one of his best to date.  He rallied into a hot pace with a good setup, but should now be more forwardly placed with the bug boy astride.  The outside post is ideal, too, in terms of getting a favorable trip pace-wise.

RACE 4: 6-8-1-7

A slow break on debut hurt #6 KAY TEE GAL, who also ended up wide on a course that strongly favored runners placed towards the rail.  Trainer Todd Pletcher entered her in a similar 25k event recently that had a full field, and she might be facing an even weaker bunch here.  Look for her to get more involved early with a cleaner break from the gate.

RACE 5: 9-6-5-7

Regardless of whether he has been training forwardly, #9 MYSTIC QUEST looks awfully formidable on debut.  He is a firster by Curlin, whose progeny hit at a 13% clip and is the 6th foal to race out of a dam who has produced the GI placed Point of Humor.  If he lives up to his big pedigree, he’ll be tough to handle.

RACE 6: 1-4-8-6

Despite having raced with two distinctly different styles in his last two, #1 BLU GROTTO has been ad a decided disadvantage.  He was too far back behind a slow pace last time out, and wound up setting a fast pace two back going 9 panels.  This is the right distance and class level for him and his recent form is solid.

RACE 7: 2-1A-10-8

#2 ZOOMER ran even better than it looks on paper given that he was wide much of the way and against the grain of the racetrack.  He now goes first off a claim by Tom Morley, and needs to be given special treatment because this barn is 29% with dirt routers first off of

RACE 8: 1-6-2-3

#1 GREEN LIGHT GO looks like a bit too much for them here.  He has really blossomed since returning to Jimmy Jerkens’ care in NY and appears to be the controlling speed today.  He meets a far tougher field than he did in his last start, but seems ready to return to the stakes ranks.

RACE 9: 5-6-8-3

#5 MAGNIFICENT CHROME was put at a disadvantage last time out staying towards the rail on a surface where outside paths dominated.  He ended up relatively close to a hot pace as well, and he’ll never produce his best effort under those circumstances.  This is a spot for him to rebound at a price.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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