Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Saturday, February 27

AQUEDUCT – 2/27/2021

RACE 1: 1A-6-4

#1A MAKE OR BREAK drops in class and is in decent form for the underrated barn of Mertkan Kantarmaci.  She has the speed to stay close in this spot and there’s a dearth of early zip signed up.

RACE 2: 6-3-2-4

The ability shown on debut by #6 ONE GLAMOROUS GAL is enough to consider her a heavy favorite and likely winner.  This barn does well with second timers and she meets softer foes dropping in for a tag.

RACE 3: 3-2-5

Until dethroned, #3 MR. BUFF is the king of the winter handicap scene at the Big A.  He figures to notch another score here given the pace scenario and competition in this event.

RACE 4: 3-1/1A-7-9

This is the right spot class-wise for #3 TRI SAINT LORENZO, who is a good fit at this 7 furlong distance as well.  Look for him to be able to lay back and make one run given the likelihood of an honest pace.

 

RACE 5: 4-2-6

#4 TOUGH WORKOUT is a home bred son of Outwork out of a dam who scored on debut.  She dropped multiple NY bred winner Microscope, so there’s reason to believe this colt can be ready at first asking.

RACE 6: 4-1/1A-3

#4 HAVE A HEART represents low percentage connections, but has the best and most consistent speed figures of anyone in this race and should be a major stretch threat.  Provided the track is fair he’s a serious player.

RACE 7: 7-2-4

#7 VIKING ZIM is a firster by Mshawish, whose progeny score on debut at a 20% clip.  This colt worked :21 and 2/5 at the sale last year and has 3 siblings to win from 4 to race.  The dam was also a winner.

 

RACE 8: 9-11-10

#9 FRANKIE BARONE was wide the whole way last time out when facing tougher competition and now drops in class and cuts back a furlong.  He should get some pace to run at in here and will be a square price.

RACE 9: 10-4-9-11

#10 TASSI debuted against tougher competition and now returns off a break with Lasix.  She was close to the inside that day and that was not the place to be, so an outside stalking trip will help her cause in here.

AQUEDUCT STATS: 109-29-18-13           $315.50

Leave a Reply

Further reading