Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Saturday, January 22, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 1/22/22

RACE 1: 6-1-3-5

#6 LAOCHI is back on short rest after a solid performance here last week when she was wide against the grain of the racetrack.  This field is hardly robust in terms of proven form, and only one of the firsters strikes fear into your heart.  On a fair track she should get a stalk and pounce trip.

RACE 2: 3-4-1-2

#3 MY FIRST GRAMMY has some darkened form and can be a threat here from just off the pace.  The hot-riding apprentice is in the irons and should have him just off the pace ready to pounce late.  The best races he’s run make him competitive figure-wise and this is a sizable class drop as well.

RACE 3: 8-3-5-4

There’s no clear excuse for #8 F F ROCKET in his last start, as he was a dull 4th against tougher competition.  The slight cutback to 7 furlongs plus addition of blinkers should sharpen him early.  This is also a weaker field than the one he faced here when last seen.

RACE 4: 5-2-6-1

#6 MOPED DENNIS is a firster by 10% debut sire Carpe Diem who is out of a dam that produced debut winner Giant Surprise.  There’s pedigree here in a race that lacks any strong proven form.  This is also a barn that used to excel with first timers.

RACE 5: 1/1A-6-5-8

The Mertkan Kantarmaci-trained entry of #1 GRAPE THERAPY and #1A CARLY HUSTLE looks formidable in that they have largely complementary running styles.  The latter should be moving well late with a better-timed ride and the former has an aggressive pilot and an inside post.

RACE 6: 11-7-1-2

#11 LOHENGRIN TWO is a speedy son of Langfuhr who draws well on the outside and exits an effort that was stronger than it looks on paper given where he was relative to the rail.  His best races make him competitive here and you’re going to get a square price.  A fair racetrack will help too given his wide draw.

RACE 7: 5-7-1-2

The scratches have made the task for #5 CORE CONVICTION that much easier.  He has come into his own since returning from a layoff and should be the early pacesetter in this field.  Whether he can handle the class jump is the only question, but the easiest way to do so is on the lead.

RACE 8: 6-3-9-2

#6 LEELOO was an impressive winner at second asking for the underrated barn of Dave Duggan and now steps up in class.  This daughter of Practical Joke has upside and Duggan’s barn is 3 for its last 11 with dirt starters exiting maiden wins ($3.55 ROI).  Her speed makes her a player from the start.

RACE 9: 10-8-9-3

#10 FORESTWOOD LANE was lost in the middle of the racetrack last time out and only missed second by ¾ of a length.  He gets a major upgrade at pilot and should be more of a pace stalker here for a barn that has quietly been on a good run of late.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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