Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Sunday, October 16, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 10/16/22

RACE 1: 4-7-2-6

#4 C’EST MAGNIFIQUE made a big move off the far turn to reach contention last time out on debut and was then outfinished.  He comes back off a short break facing a modest field of 2YO turfers.  The fact that he stayed within range of a white hot pace on debut is encouraging, as he can stay a tad closer early.

RACE 2: 2-7-1/1A-4

The combo of apprentice Maddie Rowland and trainer Mike Dini have had success together and they team up with #2 SUPER CARO.  This daughter of Super Saver showed increased speed at second asking against MSW company at Monmouth and fits well here.  If she can show speed again, it adds to her appeal.

RACE 3: 4-6-5-3

#4 F F ROCKET was inside last time out and wound up tiring going a mile against much tougher competition.  He cuts back in distance and should be able to settle and make one run in here.  Even with the speed in here somewhat suspect, he is a major player at what should be a square price.

RACE 4: 8-9-6-5

#8 MONTATHAM is a late runner who stands to benefit from a hot pace in this field for unheralded trainer Joe Lee.  This son of Candy Ride was stuck in a pace dominated race last time out and wound up rallying nicely to snag the show dough.  This is a deeper field from top to bottom, but he can make noise in the lane.

RACE 5: 10-6-2-4

The potential early speed of #10 STOW ON THE WOLD makes him very interesting as he switches surfaces for new trainer David Donk.  The dam of this gelding is kin to Group I winner Campanologist, so there’s reason to believe he’ll move forward on the lawn.  Look for Kendrick Carmouche to try to get him clear early.

RACE 6: 8-2-4-7

#8 SIX PERCENT was a smashing winner two starts back going 9 panels at the Spa.  He ran well enough last time out, but it is that mid-July heat that makes him a threat here.  His tactical speed will keep him within range, and he is a true 9f type in a race where the distance could be the equalizer.

RACE 7: 1-2-5-6

#1 HANG TIGHT goes first off a claim by Linda Rice after rallying to be second last time out.  He was mainly inside last time out and that hurt his chances given the track profile that afternoon.  There’s enough pace in here to set up his late bid and Rice’s barn continues to soar at this meet.

RACE 8: 5-2-6-1

#5 CAN’T BUY LOVE endured a tough trip last time out when 3rd in a deep stake race at Pimlico.  She has been successful on this course in the past and should be a strong late player today.  If jockey Flavien Prat opts to keep her a bit more involved early, it will only help her chances when all is said and done.

RACE 9: 3-6-9-1

#3 FULL COVERAGE had little go his way on debut given the early traffic trouble and the steady around the first turn.  He never fired, but now returns with experience and a sharp worktab for Shug McGaughey.  Expect improvement, especially since this barn’s fortunes have turned at this meet after a slow Spa season.






































































































































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