Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Thursday, December 30, 2021

AQUEDUCT – 12/30/21

RACE 1: 4-3-2-1

#4 BREW PUB takes a sizable class drop off a solid effort last time out against MSW foes.  He fits well here as a pace type in a compact field that’s devoid of speed.  The price will not be robust, but he is clearly the one to beat.

RACE 2: 5-1-2

#5 DIAMOND COLLECTOR ran a bang-up race on debut and will be tough to handle with any improvement.  This filly took some money on debut in a live looking MSW affair at Belmont and now has to deal with #1 EXXALTRESS in a race that lacks a great amount of contention.

RACE 3: 5-3-2-4

The inside bias hurt #5 EMPEROR’S CAUSE last time out when he was 2-3 wide chasing the pace.  The pace in that race was also strong and he understandably tired late.  The effort two back would wallop this field, and he came to NY in good form as well.

RACE 4: 5-2-7-1

The scratch of #3 ALFIE SOLOMONS hurts the cause of #5 DEMO DOCTOR, who will be rallying in the late stages.  It helps the chances of #2 HOOPLA, who you can use equally in your multi-race bets.  The pace should still be fair in this spot and that will set up the late running types like ‘Doctor.

RACE 5: 4-7-2-1

#4 URBAN FOREST ran credibly on the dirt in his first two starts and now switches surfaces for Bill Mott.  He is an off the pace type who’ll get a decent tempo to run at in the late stages of this affair.  You’ll have to take a short price as the likely favorite.

RACE 6: 7-8-1-6

#7 CORKMAN needs softer competition after failing last time out and should get a good trip stalking the pace.  His maiden win two back was unimpressive, but this is a weaker than par N2L affair.

RACE 7: 5-3-2

#5 ICE PRINCESS is likely the one to beat given the two-turn 9 furlong trip.  She has been most effective of any runner in here going this trip and should be in a good spot just off the pace.  She was ridden a tad aggressively last time out and that nullified her late run.

RACE 8: 9-4-3-6

#9 TOTAL EFFORT drops in class off a MSW try on debut where he showed nothing.  The 1-2 finishers from that affair have both returned with impressive wins and this gelding likely fits in the bottom rungs of the maiden claiming ladder.

WINTER CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 51-12-10-5     $87.60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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