Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Thursday, December 9, 2021

AQUEDUCT – 12/9/21

RACE 1: 7-1-2-5

#7 NOLI TEMERE ran along a dead rail on debut and wound up making up good late ground nonetheless.  She now stretches in distance and should appreciate the extra couple of furlongs based on pedigree and her first effort.

RACE 2: 3-6-10-7

#3 THE HONORABLE RUTH takes the biggest class drop in racing for trainer Ray Handal after running a solid race last time out at Belmont.  She was close to a hot pace before tiring late and figures to be the inside speed in here.

RACE 3: 1-6-5-8

#1 ADDILYN is interesting on the cutback in distance given that she’s gone long in two starts since being claimed.  This is likely a better trip for her, and the class drop also figures to help her chances.

RACE 4: 5-10-1-7

#5 NOBLE THOUGHT was compromised by a slow pace last time out and still put forth a good effort to finish fourth.  He is effective on dirt and should get a much stronger pace to run at in the late stages here.

RACE 5: 6-7-3-11

#6 BELLS ON HER TOES is interesting given the bounce back last time out against a tougher field at Belmont.  She has speed and can use it to get into position from the outset today.  If able to get clear, she’s a definite threat to go the distance.

RACE 6: 2-4-3-6

#2 OXANA is the one to beat on the inside as she drops back down in class for Tim Hills.  This barn is 17% with dirt starters in NY over the last 5 years, good for a $2.80 ROI and this filly is quick enough to get clear early.  All signs point to her being a heavy favorite.

RACE 7: 6-5-2-1

The claim of #6 ERNIE BANKER by Karl Broberg is certainly an interesting one as this gelding moves up in class in his 2nd start off a layoff.  He has good speed and can use it to stay close and get the jump on the late runners.  He’s also exiting a barn that can be moved up on subsequenty.

RACE 8: 6-7-10-9

#6 CHEATHAM HILL is interesting on the cutback in distance and return to a dry surface here.  She will be a huge price, but loves Aqueduct and figures to get a solid pace setup in this field.  Look for her late as a bomb!

AQUEDUCT FALL STATS: 144-35-23-20       $287.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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