Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Thursday, February 10, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 2/10/22

RACE 1: 6-1-4-3

#6 SWEET MIA exits a game win where she sat behind the pace and grinded out a game score.  She looks to make it two straight for the red-hot barn of Charlie Baker and should get a decent pace to run at late.  Her versatility is yet another positive.

RACE 2: 2-4-1-6

There should be enough pace in this field to set up the late bid of #2 ADDILYN, who exits a solid effort where she encountered real trouble.  She will be a square price in this field and figures to be moving late.  So many times at this time of year you have to simply gravitate towards the horses in respectable form.

RACE 3: 3-4-2-1

#3 BARISTA VIXEN is taking a suspicious drop moving in for a tag that’s less than 1/3rd of the amount for which she was claimed back in May.  She should be a bit more involved early with blinkers going on and this is a barn that plays the gaming game as shrewdly as any.

RACE 4: 6-5-7-2

Between the class drop and hopelessly wide trip last time out on a biased track #6 WAHEEL is the one to beat.  He gets Lasix for the first time off of a dull effort where he was squarely against the grain of the track profile.  You can expect him to be far more involved early in this event.

RACE 5: 4-3-1-7

#4 SUMMER BOURBON has been wide in two straight starts on surfaces that favored runners toward the inside.  He is a veteran who held very strong form before the two recent dull efforts.  The barn she’s in now is underrated and is looking to price this one where he can be competitive.

RACE 6: 3-5-4-6

The one thing that seems certain in here is that #3 TWO THIRTY FIVE will win if he can duplicate his last effort.  He was a game 2nd after making a big move off the far turn in a race where the pace collapsed.  The value will be there at the morning line price of 7/2.

RACE 7: 5-7-4-2

Distance questions abound in this affair amongst the rivals who want to come from off the pace, including #4 WATER’S EDGE.  I think a fair argument can be made that he’s the best horse in the field, but nothing about his prior efforts should make you confident that he wants to go 9 panels.  The hope is that he’ll get a stalking trip that’ll give him the jump on the closers.

RACE 8: 4-5-3-8

#4 WINNING DRIVE was hopelessly wide last time out on a day when saving ground was pivotal.  He now gets a huge upgrade at pilot for one of this circuit’s best trainers when it comes to low level claimers.  Look for this son of Flatter to be in stalk and pounce range from the start.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

Cross Country Pick 5 5.28.2022

Cross Country Pick 5 5.28.2022

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