Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Friday, April 29, 2022

BELMONT – 4/29/22

RACE 1: 5-1/1A-2-4

#5 GRINGOTTS is a price play worthy of consideration after spending the majority of her last race inside against much tougher competition.  She has held her form pretty well of late and should be in a good stalking spot from the outset this afternoon.  The low percentage connections will scare many punters away.

RACE 2: 6-5-2-4

#6 STONE CREATOR is the one to catch in her first try against elders, and she has kept strong company since an eye catching debut score.  She now figures to be a tough customer on the class drop with a clear pace edge against a group that hardly strikes fear into the heart.  Look for Trevor McCarthy to get control of this event at once.

RACE 3: 1-4-5-2

#1 NY TRAFFIC returns to the site of his two 2021 scores, the latest of which came in the Hudson back in October.  He received a questionable ride last time out breaking quickly before being wrangled back, only to make a brief late bid.  That level of competition was too much for this son of Cross Traffic and he has re-found his friends in the NY bred ranks.

RACE 4: 2-9-3-6

There is plenty of turf pedigree for #2 QUEEN OF LIES, who debuted against open company MSW runners on the synthetic surface at Gulfstream.  She steadied early and wound up racing wide late against a much tougher field and now tries the lawn.  Her dam is a half to graded stakes winning turfer Tizaqueena and her sire was a Group II winner as a juvenile overseas.

RACE 5: 10-4-1-2

#10 PRINCE OF FENTON takes the biggest class drop in racing and adds blinkers as a new gelding.  That’s nearly the ultimate makeover for trainer Brittany Russell, whose barn hits at a 33% clip with dirt starters dropping in for tags over the last 5 years ($2.74 ROI).  The two prior dirt races this son of Cairo Prince has run are far better than anything his rivals in here have put forth yet.

RACE 6: 9-8-6-5

#11 CANDY MONET ran some winning turf races last year before eventually breaking her maiden in a race taken off the grass.  She showed versatility last year, setting a white hot pace in a late September turf sprint, then rallying from well off of things in her next start.  This is a reasonable class level and she should be in stalk and pounce territory this afternoon.

RACE 7: 7-6-5-2

#7 BELLE TAPISSERIE goes 3rd off a claim following a solid outing against starter stakes foes in the Kelly Kip back on March 26.  He was shuffled back on the turn of that affair before re-rallying in the lane to narrowly miss.  Given the expected pace scenario in here, he has the perfect running style to fit this affair.

RACE 8: 3-1-6-2

The inside paths were best when #3 FLASHNDYNAMITE made her last start, and she wound up chasing the pace on the outside.  She should be able to sit back and make one run today on the slight cutback, and the rider with whom she has run her two best races recently is back aboard.  You’ll get value here in a race where the favorites have question marks.

RACE 9: 7-5-1-11

#7 MIZTERTONIC is a firster worthy of consideration in the nightcap. There’s real turf pedigree on the dam side, including the dam herself who won 5x on the lawn.  The sire is average in terms of turf production, but this field is short on ability of any type.  That makes you search for a fresh face.

BELMONT SPRING-SUMMER STATS: 9-3-1-1 $31.10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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