Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Friday, May 6, 2022

BELMONT – 5/6/22

RACE 1: 3-1-6

#3 ROYAL REALM was claimed for 40k and is now in for 25k, which is hardly the greatest sign, but this gelding has been on the wrong part of the racetrack on multiple occasions of late.  He should get a fair setup today and has done some of his best work in limited opportunities at Belmont.  Look for him to mount a serious late charge.

RACE 2: 3-4-6-1

Belmont has long brought out the best in #3 KUMAR, who is a 3x winner over this strip.  He was a game 2nd behind a wire-to-wire winner last time out on the Wood Memorial undercard and should be close to the pace today.  His best races have come when he’s been actively involved from the outset.

RACE 3: 8-9-2-6

#8 SHE’S A MIA took a huge step forward in her 2nd career start, which happened to be her first on turf.  She scored at 62-1 and now returns off a layoff against NY breds for new trainer Christophe Clement.  This barn has modest numbers with barn changes, but this is a filly who should really benefit from the change of scenery.  The addition of Lasix is significant as well.

RACE 4: 9-2-6-3

#9 BARONE MARCHIS was a clear second last time out behind a runaway winner and now meets a particularly weak field for trainer Jimmy Ryerson.  This gelding was also wide on a day when saving ground was beneficial.  He figures to get an ideal trip on the outside this afternoon.

RACE 5: 2-6-4-3

#2 SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY goes 2nd off a layoff and returns to his preferred surface.  This son of Summer Front raced against the track profile in his final 2 turf tries of 2021, including a similar N1X here at Belmont in September.  The inside part of the inner turf was pristine and the horses who raced over it held up very well.  He can bounce back here at a price.

RACE 6: 4-3-6-7

#4 BIG TONY’S GIRL is the best closer in a race loaded with speed.  Barring scratches that could change things dramatically, this daughter of Speightster figures to benefit from a tremendous setup.  If she returns to the effort she put forth the last time she tried a fast track, she’ll be tough to hold off late.

RACE 7: 10-3-5-9

#10 BAD GUY is a late runner who has run well enough on turf to be given serious consideration here.  The speed in this field is suspect and that adds to the appeal.

RACE 8: 1-3-2-4

Having generally been a detractor of #1 BLEWITT, it is ironic to land here in his biggest objective yet.  He was a handy winner of the Stud Muffin last time out, a race run against starter allowance horses, but showed he can handle the elongated trip.  He should get some pace to run at here with #2 FIRST CONSTITUTION signed up and that helps his cause.

RACE 9: 1-10-11-2

If there was a little more pedigree or turf form to latch onto then I’d have found an alternative to #1 NIKOSTRATOS.  He was over bet when 9/5 last time out in a MSW at Aqueduct where he wound up second after an ideal trip.  There’s still upside here as he now gets Lasix and will don blinkers.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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