Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Friday, November 5, 2021

BELMONT PARK – 11/5/21

RACE 1: 8-10-6-2

#8 VETERANS BEACH returns off a short layoff after facing allowance company on multiple occasions throughout NY.  This son of Big Brown reunites with Manny Franco, with whom he broke his maiden on debut.  There’s enough pace to set things up in the late stages and he should be in a good spot from the outset.

RACE 2: 2-1-8-9

#2 TELLAPERFECTTALE was wide on the course when 2nd last time out against a weak field and now looks to improve for trainer Tom Morley.  It has been a good meet for Morley and this filly has the speed to be within range early.  Her best races would make her tough to handle.

RACE 3: 3-5-4-1

#3 AMITY ISLAND goes first off a claim by Horacio DePaz and can improve given her prior trainer.  She has the tactical speed to stay within range from the start here, and there is a dearth of early speed signed up today.  If she gets to the front under an aggressive jockey, she is a threat to go the distance.

RACE 4: 4-7-5

The lack of speed in here works in the favor or #4 DOCTOR JEFF who was ineffective in the Pilgrim last time out against much tougher.  He is quick enough to get clear today and has an aggressive jockey aboard.  Look for him to be a factor right from the opening bell.

RACE 5: 2-1-4-6

#2 KAREN’S COVE goes first off a claim by Tom Morley, who has had a tremendous Belmont fall meet.  This gelding was out of the gate very poorly last time out and wound up rushing up to reach contention before basically losing a photo for third.  This barn change should help and he’ll be a square price.

RACE 6: 4-11-3-1

#4 THE INSTITUTE endured a troubled trip on debut for Horacio DePaz and that prompted him to try the Aspirant at Finger Lakes.  He was ineffective against tougher and now drops in class.  He should have the tactical speed to stay close early and will be a good price in a competitive affair.

RACE 7: 2-3-6

#2 GENERAL KEN is a second time starter who debuted with a smashing win at Delaware Park.  He was purchased privately out of that affair and now joins the care of Chad Brown.  The lead should be his for the taking and that is a major advantage over a late autumn turf course.

RACE 8: 6-1-8-2

#6 BARKIN is in NY for the first time, as her connections have realized there’s significant money available for NY breds.  She is a late runner who will need some pace help, and she comes in with excellent recent form, including a 3rd place finish in the Canadian last time out.  This class drop is simply too significant to overlook.

RACE 9: 8-2-1-7

#8 GERRYMANDER had the misfortune of chasing Echo Zulu last time out in the Frizette and wound up holding on for second.  She is drawn favorably on the outside and can stalk the pace from the start in a race that lacks a ton of confirmed speed.  If she takes another step forward, she will be nearly impossible to beat.

RACE 9: 11-5-7-10

#11 BOOM BOOM KABOOM comes in off a solid runner-up finish last month.  He has hinted at having ability in the past and now figures to be in a good spot from just off the pace. There are a few confirmed frontrunners in here who will set the table for the late running types such as this son of Emcee.

BELMONT FALL STATS: 248-56-38-29         $454.10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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