Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Friday, September 17, 2021

BELMONT PARK – 9/17/21

RACE 1: 5-7-6-1

#5 TAPALIST is a heavy favorite and likely winner in the day’s opener.  This is a dress rehearsal of sorts for the trainer and jockey who will team up with tomorrow’s heavy favorite, Lone Rock, in the Grand Prix du Jockey Club Invitational.

RACE 2: 5-3-1-2

The experienced runners leave a lot to be desired in this field, so why not try a fresh face like #5 BALTHUS?  It’s never easy to have a horse ready on debut at 10 furlongs, but the dam here was a productive turf horse overseas before running one solid race in her only North American try.

RACE 3: 7-6-1-5

#7 HALO CITY is a late runner who need not lose contact with her rivals early in this affair.  She ran a credible race at 7 panels last time out and has generally performed well at Belmont in the past.  The speed in here is suspect, and that might set up her late bid nicely.

RACE 4: 2-7-3-6

#2 EARLY GLOW is the third foal to race out of an international group stakes winning dam.  She is kin to stakes winner Antoinette and the stakes caliber Javanica.  There’s reason to believe she’ll be ready for this engagement, too, based on that recent bullet workout.

RACE 5: 3-2-9-10

#3 SOULMATE nearly pulled off a massive upset last time out when he made the lead and was collared right on the wire.  He is the one to catch this time around again and has a bit more skilled pilot in the irons.  Here’s to hoping for aggressive tactics to be employed.

RACE 6: 7-1/1A-3-2

In a total guessing game, #7 PROTONIC POWER is interesting given that the dam was a graded stake winner on turf and that she produced juvenile GI winner Princess Noor.  This colt is training forwardly for Todd Pletcher and draws favorably on the outside.

RACE 7: 6-1-2-7

This is a skull-busting event where contention runs deep, but #6 BIG EVEREST has plenty to offer on the cutback in distance.  He unleashed a potent late kick to dispatch overmatched rivals last time out and figures to be moving well late given the likelihood of a decent pace.

RACE 8: 5-10-1-2

#5 CALDEE has been effective going longer on turf and now cuts back in distance.  She should be effective at this trip and her last race has clearly proven to be productive.  With two next out winners from the top 3, she’ll bid to become the third with a pace-stalking trip.

RACE 9: 5-9-8-1

#5 MADAME ROSE is a potential upsetter given that she has run races fast enough to win this affair and will be 3-4x the price of her main rivals.  The low percentage connections in play will scare many off, but why won’t the 4th of July effort this filly posted be good enough to win?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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