Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Saturday, July 9, 2022

BELMONT – 7/10/22

RACE 1: 5-1-6-4

#5 LADY YELLEN was involved in a particularly fast pace last time out and wound up tiring late.  She is capable of sitting just off the pace and now gets a rider switch back to Irad Ortiz, Jr., who is likely to put her in stalk and pounce range.  This is her last chance at a short price and has a lot to do with the weak field she meets today.

RACE 2: 1-3-7-2

The pace scenarios that #1 NOT PHAR NOW has found himself in lately have been less than ideal.  He set a blistering pace before tiring last time out and now bids to make all as the clear speed in this affair.  He scored at this trip in May of 2021 and has come back from that lengthy break no worse for wear.

RACE 3: 1-8-6-2

#1 PATRICK THE GREAT is in for a tag for the first time and that class move is significant.  He was stuck inside last time out on a day when being outside was beneficial.  There’s also reason to believe he’s better going a tad shorter, so the 7f trip is likely to bring out his best.  His recent drills also indicate there’s some talent there somewhere.

RACE 4: 9-2-3-4

The experienced runners in this field inspire little confidence, so #9 MR NOBILITY is a reasonable one on which to land.  He is by 11% turf sire Noble Mission and is out of a dam who has produced a couple of turf winners.  Over the last five years, trainer Christophe Clement is 19% with turf routers on debut in maiden claimers, good for a $3.40 ROI.

RACE 5: 3-4-2-5

#3 FIRST TO ACT figures to get a strong pace to run at late and will be tough to handle if she duplicates her last performance.  She followed up a game maiden win with a runner-up effort behind a wire-to-wire-winner and now gets a rider switch to Irad Ortiz, Jr.  The added ground will do her no harm and she is a deserving heavy favorite.

RACE 6: 2-5-7-3

#2 NEVISIAN SUNRISE was caught wide much of the way in her last start, which came against considerably tougher competition.  She now goes 3rd off a layoff returning to a distance that has yielded both of her prior victories.  The inside post will enable her to settle just off the pace and pounce late.

RACE 7: 5-6-2-8

#5 QUEEN BOURBON returns to turf and has run some respectable races in recent tries on the green down in Kentucky.  She stalked a white hot pace in her last turf start on the Kentucky Derby undercard then grabbed command before succumbing to the pressure late.  The added ground should be no issue and she draws the right pilot.

RACE 8: 1-5-4-6

It was two years ago that #1 BROOKLYN STRONG burst on to the scene as a NY bred capable of handling open company.  He has had a number of issues since, but is now in a new high percentage barn and should get a strong pace to run at in here.  The price will be attractive to boot.

RACE 9: 1-2-5-7

The surprise many felt when Orlando Noda won the Saturday opener on the turf is fresh in our minds, so #1 WICK LOVES A FIGHT is interesting here second off a layoff.  He gets Lasix for the first time and faced considerably tougher foes in prior turf starts.  He has the tactical speed to stay close and should be in a good spot throughout.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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