Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Saturday, October 16, 2021

BELMONT PARK – 10/16/21

RACE 1: 7-4-1-6

#7 MACH ONE drops in class for trainer Bonnie Lucas, who picked up her first win here on Thursday.  This gelding has been facing much tougher, and his last foray into the maiden claiming ranks ended with a solid runner-up finish.  This is the right spot class-wise.

RACE 2: 5-4-3-1

#5 FONTANAFREDDA is a second timer who made up good ground on debut to round out the exacta.  She should be more involved early with a cleaner break and has plenty of upside.  All signs point to the favorite here.

RACE 3: 7-2-8-3

#7 SHARP PROSPECT was claimed by Robby Falcone, Jr. last time out and should improve off a solid effort.  He fits well at this class level and has been given some time off since being taken for 25k.  His early speed is a weapon on a more speed-favoring autumn turf course.

RACE 4: 8-7-1-2

The dirt form of #8 BIG AL’S GAL makes her a major competitor here as the likely favorite.  She’s facing weaken than she has in recent outings on turf and has the right running style to be within range from the start.  The presence of Joel Rosario hardly hurts things either.

RACE 5: 8-3-6-7

The poor gate break last time for #5 HIGHWAY QUEEN hurt her chances and she still nearly won the race at 16-1. You’re going to have to take a much shorter price here, but she is a major threat given her speed and the likelihood she’ll get out cleaner.

RACE 6: 2-3-5-7

#2 JORDAN’S LEO is a great bet at a square price here given the way this race shapes up on paper.  She was ridden passively last time out and wound up a game 2nd at a square price.  The short run to the first turn and her early foot are formidable.

RACE 7: 6-7-8-2

#6 COUSIN ANDREW was a competitive 4th last time out in his first try off a claim by Peter Walder.  He has since trained well and now loses the blinkers for 30k.  His proven form is the best in the race and he has the speed to stay close early.

RACE 8: 6-7-2-10

#6 FREEDOM MACHINE is the one to catch as she drops back in for a tag for trainer Rick Schosberg.  She is quick enough to get control and her form has held together well since that maiden score.  This is the right class level without question.

RACE 9: 4-7-2

The recent maiden win for #4 CINDERELLA’S CAUSE was a revelation, as she took a major step forward in her dirt debut. She has the tactical speed to be a factor from the outset and there’s hardly an abundance of speed in this affair.

RACE 10: 3-8-11-7

#8 NEW YORK DANCER was a competitive 5th on debut after a poor start and early trouble.  She should benefit from having that race behind her, and a quicker break is going to pay dividends.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

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