Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Sunday, June 13, 2021

BELMONT – 6/13/2021

RACE 1: 8-4-1-2

#8 STORMI CAT LADY has recently run races on fast dirt that are good enough for her to be favored in here.  She will likely be the 2nd or 3rd choice in here given her poor recent running line, and that often creates some of the best wagering opportunities you’ll ever find.

RACE 2: 5-7-11-2

#5 GABBY SQUARED takes the biggest class drop in racing and should be in an ideal spot to unleash one late run under Joel Rosario.  This filly has belonged in the claiming ranks for quite some time and her last proved she needed class relief.***

RACE 3: 7-1-8-10

It is foolish to label #7 MO FAITH as a “need the lead” type given he was victorious sitting just off the pace on debut.  The race this NY bred exits has proven to be productive, and there’s reason to believe the Beyer figure could have been a tad higher.  He should get a great trip stalking the pace and #1 LONESOME FUGITIVE is a favorite we should all line up to bet against in multi-race plays.

RACE 4: 3-8-4-9

#3 YANKEE EMPIRE has been involved in hot paces in all three of his most recent starts and now gets serious class relief 3rd off a claim by the white hot barn of Orlando Noda.  This gelding can grab command at once in here and that’ll make him a very tough customer.  The worktab is encouraging, and he gets needed class relief today.

RACE 5: 5-8-10-4

#5 KNOCKOUT PUNCH actually faced a considerably stronger field last time out and there have since been 3 subsequent turf sprint winners from that field.  This gelding should move forward 2nd off a layoff and the slight class drop will also ensure he’s at the right level.

RACE 6: 12-1-9-11

You have to make a decision on what to do with the May 16 heat that yielded a runner-up finish from #12 SHIRAZ.  The fact that he came back on to grab the place dough is a partial indictment of the field, but this veteran also raced close to a wicked hot pace before falling back and rallying again.  The pace in here should hardly be robust, and that’ll put him in an ideal stalking position.

RACE 7: 7-5-3-8

#7 CADEAU DE PAIX is a late runner who was along for second last time out behind a runaway winner.  She goes 2nd off a claim and stays at a similar class level, which is a sign of confidence from her trainer.  There should be enough pace in here to set up her late bid to boot.

RACE 8: 7-8-1-2

#7 KALIFORNIA QUEEN gets Lasix for the first time since coming to the United States and drops out of graded stake company.  She should get some pace to run at late, and any move forward off her first two stateside tries would make her very tough to handle for these.

RACE 9: 9-7-6-5

#9 ELSTON ran a better race on debut than it looks on paper as he broke poorly, lagged behind the field then finished with interest before galloping out best of all.  Trainer John Terranova is spotting him realistically off the layoff, and he’s a new gelding for his return to the races.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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