Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Sunday, May 15, 2022

BELMONT – 5/15/22

RACE 1: 2-1-4-5

#2 DIGITIZE ran well on debut to finish 2nd when rallying into a slow pace.  A poor break from the gate hurt his chances that afternoon, but he showed more than enough ability to be considered a prime win candidate here.  The extra ground should do him no harm and having guaranteed pace courtesy of his stablemate only adds to the appeal.

RACE 2: 1-3-4-8

The top side of the pedigree for #1 SWEET SENSATION is a tad underwhelming, but the dam side is robust.  The dam was a turf winner and she has dropped multiple grass winners including Toughest ‘Ombre and Fear No Evil.  This is a reasonable spot class-wise and the inside post should facilitate a ground-saving trip.

RACE 3: 8-2-4-7

The debut effort from #8 KINGSTOWN was better than it looks on paper, as this son of Central Banker engaged in a white hot pace while stuck inside.  He should improve with experience and now gets top jock Flavien Prat in the irons.  The price should be appealing as well.

RACE 4: 6-3-8-1

#6 CHULAINN is a late runner coming back from a layoff for trainer Graham Motion, who bagged a Grade I on Saturday.  This barn is 21% with turfers off 180+ day breaks, good for a $2.69 ROI and the pace should set up well for a closer.  He ran some solid races against NY breds in 2021 as well.

RACE 5: 2-4-8-1

#2 STRIKE PRICE is a second timer who should get the lead after setting the pace on debut and weakening late.  Flavien Prat has proven quite adept at assessing pace situations and capitalizing when he has the opportunity.  That should present itself here given the way this race figures to shake out, and the favorites are as untrustworthy as they come.

RACE 6: 8-7-3-5

#8 AMERICAN RULE has shown marked improvement for Orlando Noda in recent starts and enters off a solid runner-up finish against lesser when he raced against the track profile.  This race should setup well for him given the lack of pace as the only real speed horse is directly to his inside.  His best races put him in the conversation for top honors.

RACE 7: 10-8-7-9

It will suffice to say that Junior Alvarado got a little lost on #10 NEW YORK GIRL last time out.  She now returns to NY facing weaker foes than she did at any point in 2021 around these parts.  The pace should set up reasonably for a late-running type and this gal was seemingly graded stakes caliber a year ago.

RACE 8: 5-3-4-6

#5 DON’T WAIT UP had legitimate trouble last time out in the Lafayette at Evangeline Downs and now bids to rebound upon returning to New York.  His lone win came when in the care of trainer Tony Dutrow and he should get a strong pace to run at here.  The addition of blinkers should pay off as well.

RACE 9: 4-2-8-12

#4 MISSPELLED MOOON is the one to catch for trainer Ray Handal.  This filly goes 2nd off a layoff after setting a hot pace and tiring late last time out.  She ran well sitting just off the pace in her turf debut last year at the Big M and should improve second off the layoff this afternoon.  If left alone on the front, she is likely to go the distance.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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