Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Thursday, April 28, 2022

https://youtube.com/shorts/QAxM1UaGHmg?feature=share

BELMONT – 4/28/22

RACE 1: 3-5-6-4

#3 RHEAUME can start the meet with a bang for veteran trainer Michael Dickinson, who is more than capable of having one ready on debut.  This filly is by Nyquist, a 15% debut sire, and is out of a dam who was a half to turf winner Glowing Ember.  The experienced runners inspire little confidence so why not a first timer?

RACE 2: 4-1-2-5

#4 BELLA PRINCIPESSA appears to be a favorite who’ll be tough when all is said and done.  She has improved since being claimed by Bob Klesaris and now cuts back in distance.  This barn is 16% with dirt starters cutting back from routes to sprints ($3.14 ROI) and she should get some pace to run at late.  The best races she has run make her very tough to handle in here.

RACE 3: 6-4-7-2

The recent form of #6 NO SALT makes him the one to beat in here.  He scored handily in a starter affair last time out and now stretches back out in distance.  There’s reason to believe he is more effective going shorter, but he is in strong form and meets a modest field for this level.

RACE 4: 2-10-9-6

The weight break, inside post and early speed of #2 MACH ONE make him the choice at what should be a square price.  The last time this son of Air Force Blue raced on turf he got involved in a wicked hot pace against MUCH tougher at Belmont.  He enters off a break today in a weak field and can put this field away early.

RACE 5: 7-3-5-2

#7 HEYMACKIT’SJACK is a longshot worthy of consideration in this spot.  He goes 3rd off a layoff today and returns to turf, a surface over which he debuted in November 2020.  That was when he was in the care of John Kimmel and he got involved in a strong pace before tiring.  The 1-2 finishers in that race turned out to be solid turf sprinters and this gelding now meets a soft field as a major pace factor in a race short on early zip.

RACE 6: 9-8-6-5

It might be a tad simplistic to like #9 BOSS CARA simply because of the pace scenario here.  However, she’s also dropping in class and exiting an improved effort first off a claim from a low percentage barn.  Things should set up well this afternoon and nothing more than her last effort is necessary to get top honors in here.

RACE 7: 3-4-1-2

In a race that is far more difficult than the average 6 horse affair, #3 REPO ROCKS gets the nod based on the solid recent form.  This gelding can sit just off the pace and pounce when ready, and he seems to have only recently left a high percentage stable.  In the multi-race plays it would be ideal to go 4 deep.

RACE 8: 6-5-4-3

#6 DOUBLY BLESSED is clearly the one to beat based on recent form and should be in a good spot just off the pace.  He is more effective going longer and on wet tracks, but the effort he put forth last time out makes him a standout and his best race yet was on this racetrack.  All signs point to him being a prohibitive favorite that’ll be tough to beat.

RACE 9: 3-4-2-10

#3 DRAW OFF is a third time starter moving to turf and has pedigree for the lawn.  Progeny of Gormley are 3-14 in their turf debuts and the unraced dam has dropped 3 turf winners from as many to try it.  She has speed and the blinkers going on will only sharpen her in the opening stages.  Look for her to come out swinging.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Further reading