Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Thursday, May 12, 2022

BELMONT – 5/12/22

RACE 1: 2-3-4

#2 EVER A REBEL is a firster from the high percentage stable of Wesley Ward out of freshman sire Bolt d’Oro.  This colt is a half to 5x winner Boardroom and looks to be training forwardly for a barn whose horses generally break fast and never look back early in their careers.

RACE 2: 5-6-2-1

It felt like being wide and chasing the pace was not really where you wanted to be opening week at Belmont and #5 WINNING DRIVE took the worst of it last time out.  He now goes 3rd off a claim by Rob Atras and looks to improve on a slight class drop.  He should be loose on the lead here too with a dearth of speed signed up.

RACE 3: 3-2-5-6

#3 BRILLIANT BROOKS starts 2nd off a claim by Horacio DePaz, whose barn has started off this meet quite strongly.  This versatile son of Candy Ride can be in stalk and pounce territory from the outset and looks to be tough to handle based on his back class.  The only negative is his likely price.

Nick covered the Pick 6 Carryover ($53K) for ITM Plus. You can find that here.

RACE 4: 3-2-1-6

Trainer Chad Brown is wasting no time putting #3 MERGER OF EQUALS in for a tag at second asking.  He showed some life on debut before tiring and now figures to improve facing weaker competition.  The fact that he had some speed on debut is a major positive as well.

RACE 5: 1-2-11-10

Even though she went to the sidelines on a major downward slide, #1 ANONYMOUSLY has too many turf races that would wallop this field.  She was in good form last year before and after being claimed by Mike Maker, and he is now racing her around the price she was taken for in July.  The inside post will give her the opportunity to save ground as well.

RACE 6: 1-5-2-4

#1 DRAW OFF is back on dirt and has had some excuses for his first two starts.  He looms the inside speed after he chased the pace in earnest last time out and tired late.  This is his third start off a layoff and he figures to be ready to pack his best punch.

RACE 7: 2-5-1-6

#2 ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS is strictly the one to catch for trainer Mike Maker as this gelding breaks from the inside in a race that is short on speed.  He has had a hard time winning races over the last year, but the addition of blinkers should sharpen him up early and will heopefully help him finish the job.

RACE 8: 2-4-7-3

#2 KEY POINT is clearly the one to beat and a likely Pick 6 single for most players.  He came back off a lengthy break to narrowly miss against similar foes last time out and now figures to be in stalk and pounce range for Chad Brown.  This being his 2nd start off a layoff, he is expected to move forward.

RACE 9: 12-6-7-8

The far outside post for #12 SUCCULENT is no worry given that she figures to settle and make one run from off the pace.  She was dismissed at 37-1 last time out but ran a respectable race, rallying from well off the pace following a slow break.  This is a weak spot for this level and she’ll be an appealing price again.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

Cross Country Pick 5 5.28.2022

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