Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Thursday, May 13

BELMONT – 5/13/2021

RACE 1: 3-6-8-7

Many times when weak N2L claimers get together, the best course of action is to focus on recent maiden winners like #3 KITH. That son of Uncle Mo was an impressive winner last time out in a race where the other pace players were nowhere to be found at the finish.  He has landed in a great spot for his first try against winners.

RACE 2: 6-4-3

#6 LEMIEUX is a firster by Nyquist, whose progeny win on debut at a 14% clip.  She is training well and the unraced dam dropped one winner from as many to race.  She is the right alternative to the likely favorite two doors to her inside.

RACE 3: 7-2-5

#7 PRINCESS PINKY has the right running style for this affair as she can lay just off the pace, and she is facing weaker competition than she has in recent outings.  Her recent form is strong and she figures to be a square price to boot.

RACE 4: 10-4-3-9

#10 ALPHA BABE is new to the barn of Rob Atras, and that constitutes a positive barn change.  Her turf debut can safely earn a grade of “incomplete” as she was wide on both turns and given little opportunity to run.  This seems like a more realistic distance, and she’s getting a useful rider change.

RACE 5: 2-6-7-1

#2 T LOVES A FIGHT is a late runner who had no shot last time out given the race flow.  He has been at his best over the years at Belmont and figures to get an enormous pace to run at in the late stages.  There’s value to be had here to boot.

RACE 6: 7-3-13

#7 TALE OF MIST is another late runner who figures to benefit from the race flow in here, as this son of Tale of Ekati enters off two superfecta finishes where he didn’t have much pace help.  He loves Belmont and will offer value given the low percentage connections in play.

RACE 7: 2-1-4

#2 FROSTED ICE moved too late last time out when 3rd against similar foes across town at Aqueduct.  He has elevated his game since joining the barn of Michelle Nevin and has the right running style for this event.  Look for him to make a move from just off the pace.

RACE 8: 5-6-1-8

#5 KLICKITAT has not been on the turf since November of last year and now returns off a break for Jimmy Jerkens.  He ran a bang-up race two back against open N1X foes at Aqueduct and can be involved from the outset given the pace scenario.

RACE 9: 4-2-3

It’s tough to have any real confidence in any runner in the nightcap, but #2 SARATOGA FLASH feels like the right horse.  He performed well last time out against similar foes at a mile and the speed he’s shown indicates that the sprint distance might be ideal.

BELMONT STATS: 102-28-14-12            $159.50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

Woodbine 6/20/2021 – by Drew Coatney

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