Nick Tammaro’s Belmont Analysis – Thursday, October 14, 2021

BELMONT PARK – 10/14/21

RACE 1: 8-4-9-3

#8 SO SUAVE doesn’t exactly inspire a ton of confidence given the sizable class drop off a solid stateside debut.  What you have to be confident in is that this barn is spotting horses to win and that he can duplicate that recent effort.  If he does so, he’ll be impossible to beat today.

RACE 2: 1A-5-2B

#1A COZZY’S ATTITUDE ran in his debut like a horse who’d benefit from more experience and more ground.  The experience hasn’t done him any good, but he’s finally getting more ground in this spot.  That might be enough to pay dividends as Joel Rosario gets back aboard.

RACE 3: 3-6-5

#3 SUPPLY AND DEMAND cuts back in distance 2nd off a claim for Tony Dutrow.  It is notable that he’s keeping this son of Exaggerator protected from the tag and the blinkers going on is likely meant to sharpen him early.  He had the worst of it last time out racing wide during a period of time when you wanted to save ground.

RACE 4: 3-6-2-4

The lead is likely there for the taking for #3 CAUMSETT, who ran well last time out setting a solid pace before being run down late.  This is a more favorable trip and configuration for a frontrunning type and she retains the pilot from last time out.  Look for run and gun tactics to be employed.

RACE 5: 3-12-9-6

#3 OPT was put at a huge disadvantage at the start last time out when he broke poorly and spotted the field some ground.  He ended up making a prolonged wide move at a distance short of his best.  The extra ground and likelihood of a contested pace make him very appealing.

RACE 6: 2-5-10-11

#2 DOM’S FEISTY GIRL returns off a layoff for a new barn and drops in class.  Trainer Michelle Nevin is 18% with dirt sprinters first off of claims ($2.95 ROI) and this one was highly regarded prior to her debut.  She has shown speed as well and should be actively involved from the start.

RACE 7: 8-6-5-7

The fact that #8 AMERICAN RULE ran as well as he did for his prior trainer is a major credit to him.  He is now in a real barn with a considerably better jockey and figures to get an ideal outside stalking trip in a race that has confirmed speed.  You’ll get a square price to boot.

RACE 8: 4-3-2-1

The trip that #4 WINDFALL PROFIT endured last time out was hardly ideal.  She lagged behind a moderate pace before unleashing an enormous move on the outside.  While she understandably tired late, it was arguably the best race of her career and sets her up well for this engagement.

RACE 9: 12-5-2-11

This is a good time to try a firster like #12 GOTANDA, who is out of a dam that was a productive turf runner.  This barn is more than capable of having one ready on debut and you’re going to get an appealing price here as well.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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