Oaklawn Park Early P5 Analysis- March 11th, 2021- By Spencer Luginbuhl

Race 1

#8 Chewy Chewy Good: This Filly is dropping to the bottom after a terrible first race back off the layoff, but there are some excuses. That last race was in the mud and going at the longest distance in her career. If you go back to her first three starts all on fast dirt, they all fit the Beyer par to win here.

A=8-5

Race 2

#5 Descente: This mare is coming off a layoff and is in the new barn of Jerry Hollendorfer, who does well with new acquisitions (22%). She was the type that likes to win, winning six of eight starts last year. She finished off last year winning by seven at this level at Gulfstream Park.

A=5

Race 3

#7 I’m a Special Star: He is the lone maiden special weight dropper in the field, and that’s an angle I will always play. The first race isn’t terrible. He showed ok speed against better and now has a top jock like Geroux jumped aboard.

A=7-2
B=3-9

Race 4
#3 Lovely Lou: This five-year-old has been steadily improving with each start and is very lightly raced for being five. She is ultra-consistent, having never missed the board in six starts. She broke her maiden last time out with a Beyer that fits the par to almost win at the level. A big positive is Cabrera staying aboard as he is 29% in limited starts with this barn.

A=3-5-6
B=11

 

Race 5
#1 Kristo: Since switching over to the Aidan Green barn, this ten-year-old has been ultra-consistent on the Beyer scale and has a win at the starter allowance level two back. If he can run any of these last three races, he should be there at the wire at what could be a great value price to end our pick five.

A=1-11-3

Leave a Reply

Further reading