Oaklawn Park early P5 Analysis- March 14th 2021- By Spencer luginbuhl

Race 1

#2 Smack Attack: I like how this form cycle is going for this four year old. Last time out, we saw nice improvement, and he was up on a fast pace at a better class level, albeit on a sloppy race track. Third off, a layoff has always been a good form angle, and if we see another jump of improvement, he will be right around that Beyer par for the level.

 

A=2-1

 

Race 2

#8 Splash For Gold: Maybe the 10K level is too challenging for this horse, or he just doesn’t like a wet track. The race three back was solid, and he has run well enough for 5K in the past. I don’t think this level is too big a jump for him. He is also 3-8 at today’s six-furlong distance.

 

A=8-7-5

 

Race 3

#7 Presto Bench: Much as we talked about in the first race, I love seeing improving Beyers over time. Trainer Chris Hartman does well with first-time runners 14% with a positive ROI.

 

7-9-2

 

Race 4

#7 Tonal Vision: four of the last five races have been good low 70 Beyer’s. You can toss the race last time out due to a wet surface. Three back, she ran well when in for a 50K tag, although she was in the barn of Mike Maker at the time.

 

A=7-4

 

Race 5

#1 Aztec Empire: This son of Tapit has shown speed against the MSW ranks, and that is why I’m taking this dropper. He has good connections in Moquett and Santana, who are 24% together.

 

A=1-9

 

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