Oaklawn Park Early P5 Analysis-March 4th 2021

 

Race 1

#6 Marquee Cowboy: Not a lot going on in these pp’s so I went looking for some bombs. The 6 and 8 are the only two dropping from maiden special weight to maiden claiming. She is also coming off a long layoff, and during that time, a barn switch occurred as well. This filly showed improved speed in her second start and could be closer today as well.

 

A=-6-4-2-7

 

Race 2

#7 Copley: This son of Air Force Blue ran a tremendous race last time out against open 30K foes. He was two lengths off a hot pace and still held on for third and now drops into the conditional ranks where his tactical speed can only help him.

 

A=7-5

B=9

 

Race 3

#7 Skywave: Good second in the first start as the pace was fast, and he held on for the place money. It’s a huge R.O.I. of 5$ for this jockey trainer combo with only 11 starts but 36% winners. He should be on the lead in the race, which sometimes is all you need in the maiden claiming levels.

 

#8 King Henrik: Another that showed speed on debut although on an off track. This son of Honor Code is dropping in class, and although Tom Amoss is off to an icy start 0-14, these types do very well, 30% with 85% ITM with the second-time starter in dirt sprints maiden claimers.

 

#4 Awesome Charge: Trainer D Wayne Lukas is 0-119 with first-time starters, so I wasn’t expecting a win last time. He is also dropping out of the same race as our second choice, where the winner was a class dropper switching surfaces. He does have the best last-out Beyer, although it was in the mud, so that number to me is skeptical. This might be the type that hits the board, although I would need a better price then the M.L of 7-2

 

A=7-8

B=4

 

Race 4

#2 Town Champ: This seven-year-old loves Oaklawn over six starts and has never missed the exacta a perfect 6-6. He won an N2X at Penn National two starts back and then ran a solid second for 50K his first start of the year at Oaklawn. This small drop-in class isn’t looking to sell. I think the barn is trying to find the best spot to win.

 

A=2

 

Race 5

 

#1 Fast Sophia: Only one start so far for this three-year-old filly. She didn’t get out of the gate well and was facing much better horses. Trainer John Prather J.R. is very good in maiden claiming races and off these 21-60 day layoffs. She had an excellent workout two back before all that crazy winter weather hit Arkansas.

 

A=1-12-8

 

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