Oaklawn Park Early Pick 5 Analysis for Friday, February 5

PTF posting for Spencer

Race 1

#5 Outlier: Broke the maiden three back for Asmussen, and his first two races against winners weren’t bad at double-digit odds. Now he drops down into an N2L as everyone has the maiden win. Beyers are consistent with four straight in the 60s.

#2 Sidetown: This son of Twirling Candy likes to be forwardly placed. He won at the highest level of maiden claiming of those appearing in this race. He went way too fast last time out and backed right up after half the race, and I’m willing to toss that race and go off the maiden win.


B=3 saver

Race 2

#2 Gold  N Sexy: In a race where anyone could win I’m going to try and single and take some shots later on. I like that she held on to her speed some more in the second start than the debut. All I want in this race are speed types that seem to improve their speed over time.


Race 3

#2 Ambitiously Placed: Always nice when you see a 34% rider get the nod in the irons. I’m going to upgrade that last race as she went fast early and then still held on for second. Trainer Jason Barkley has a positive ROI with maiden claimers and off this type of layoff.

#1 Entry: Miss Alpha Bella has improved in her last two on dirt, and although the turf numbers are better, I feel they have her at her best distance where she already has two seconds. She should be sitting right off the pace.


Race 4

#12 Poler Wind: Gets a positive trainer change to Villafranco, who is off to a hot start at the meet. It’s hard to close from as far off the pace as this one did in his latest race. He has been consistently in the 70s and 80’s Beyer wise on the page and is a must use for me.

#9 Urbanite: New trainer John Cox is 3-10 over the last two years with new runners. He has run above the Beyer par in the previous two races and could be a separator in the early P5.

#6 Pepper Pike: That last race on a wet track was a new Beyer top for this son of Ghostzapper, and it’s hard to judge if he’s improving as he gets older or if the wet track moved him up. I don’t want to be knocked out by him; using him as a backup for now.



Race 5

#5 War Detonator: First time off the claim, Jason Barkley is 25% with an excellent 3$ ROI.  This horse hasn’t been seen since last November and has now turned five. Maybe the maiden win was the lightbulb turning on, and they’re still could be an improvement for this lightly raced gelding.

#3 Box of Chocolates: Positive jockey and trainer upgrade for this son of Candy Ride. He has substantial back numbers from a class standpoint that make him dangerous in here.







Leave a Reply

Further reading