#7 Mystic Guide: This four year old has improved every race and just missed in a G1 last time out after being up on a slow pace. He didn’t win the first time out or last time first off a layoff, so the negative is he may need one off the breaks he takes.
#1 Silver Prospector: He did very well at this track, winning a graded stake as a three-year-old. In his last two tries at the graded stakes level, he hasn’t hit the board but, with a little improvement, could have a good shot at 5-1
#3 Amy’s Challenge: She ran an excellent second to this division’s best female sprinter in Frank’s Rockette last time out. We know she has the speed for days, and she has yet to miss an exacta in three tries at today’s distance.
#4 Casual: This daughter of Curlin has run better numbers at Oaklawn breaking her maiden last year, so there can be more improvement out of this last race. She ran a sneaky fourth in a stake, two back only losing by less than two lengths.
#2 Reserve: Trainer Ron Moquett isn’t the best with firsters, but I love the fact he gets Rosario up to ride this son of Tiznow. He has been working lights out in the morning with solid four furlong works, including two out of the gate.
#10 Name rejected: Big improvement first time out as a three-year-old for this Munnings colt. He sat midpack, and the pace wasn’t exactly quick upfront either. If it rains, I will upgrade, as Munning’s are some of my favorites on an off-track.
#1 Essential Quality: This B.C. The juvenile winner is getting started a little later then most derby hopefuls. If he isn’t fully cranked, this might be the start to beat, but Saez is staying on, and the distance is the same from the B.C. win.
#4 Jackie’s Warrior: just a primary backup as a pace play as he could steal going wire to wire as there isn’t much speed in the race.
#8 Beaver Hat: I’ve always been a big fan of this horse, and he is in razor-sharp form over his last couple of outings. He does like this route distance having two wins in five starts, and It’s puzzling to see Geroux jump off.