Hello InTheMoneyMedia Family
Moving forward I will be sharing my thoughts and daily analysis about racing at Gulfstream Park, one for my favorite tracks. I will also be looking to incorporate one of my favorite bet types; the horizontal wager. If you are reading this blog more than likely you are a fellow horseplayer at some level, and you realize this game has lots to offer and many different ways to go about doing it. I like looking for winners and stringing together two or more where it makes logical and or financial sense. As I move along, I will quickly look back at the previous results – attempt to gain insight – then on to the next. If that sounds like fun, like myself you are a Degenerate! Join me and let’s attempt to get better at what we do and make some cash.
Wednesday January 20, 2020 – Gulfstream Park – Late Pick 5
Race 6 – 1 Mile (Dirt) Optional Claiming $50K FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A
CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000
#1 Sexy Dream – Ran against softer company last time and took them gate to wire – Slow fractions and being down on the side hurts her changes here – PASS
#2 Shiny Empire – Fits from a early pace perspective and gets Lasix for the 1st time – Jockey – Emisael Jaramillo is great with horses on the front end. – INCLUDE
#3 Sunny Isle Beach – Won 2 of her last 3 and also gets Lasix for the 1st time. Fits statically, hard riding Luis Saez gets the mount. – INCLUDE
#4 Celestial Cheetah – Was thrown to wolves last time in the G2 Demoisel – comes back to a more accommodating spot but still does not possess the speed to compete yet. – PASS
#5 Pretty Rachel – Took her 4 attempts to break the maiden at a lower level – Pass
#6 Happy Constitution – Gets back to the dirt were she seems to perform best – Figures Fit – IRAD gets the assignment. – INCLUDE
#7 Mangrove Mamma – has not shown much in her 4 previous starts – 88 day layoff for a barn with a lower percentage in the 46 to 90 day window. – Pass
- All of these newly turned 3 year old Fillies are receiving Lasix for the 1st time.
- Competitive 1 mile contest. Does not seem to be clear pace advantage for anyone.
- SELECTIONS 2 and 3 and 6
RACE 7 – 1 1/16 Mile (Turf) OC 16000n1x Purse $44,000 FOR STATE BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN,CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000
#1 Freedom Matters – Hard trying gelding that will be a victim of pace IMO – Will want to stay with #4 and get slightly extended. – Timid Pass.
#2 Mony – Pass.
#3 Dominate Themoment – Historical races are average for a small barn. Johnny V. is in the irons and just seem be back to his old self yet. – Pass
#4 Sir Seamus – Drops slightly and will look to take this field gate to wire – Lots of early speed and could bottom out the competition by the time they reach the stretch. – Slight concern – he does have the early pace advantage and could have enough to hold on. – Timid INCLUDE
#5 Souper Watson – 3rd of the layoff for Casse who is one of the best when it comes to being patient with young horses and allowing them to mature. Broke his maiden after a long layoff, then a close up 5th in a race that had little to no pace. – Value Play – INCLUDE
#6 Espresso Caliente – No Sir – No Ma’am – Pass.
#7 Rhythmia – There is talent here – 2nd of the layoff for Saffie – INCLUDE
#8 Zero Gravity – Potential for improvement here but he does not have the early advantage or the late pop that you like to see on turf. – Not for the win. – Pass
- Pace makes the race
- SELECTIONS 4 and 5 and 7
RACE 8 6 Furlongs(Dirt) Clm 35000 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS
#1 – Cobb – Moves up in class from last start which was a victory, that race was slow from a pace perspective – Pass.
#2 Florida Endeavour – Need to see more – Pass.
#3 Foster Hope – If he can repeat his last performance he will be a contender – Good Jockey and Trainer stats. – INCLUDE
#4 El Sicario – Pass
#5 Carson City Kid – Good early running pace – Going out for new barn, Kelly Breen, does good with these type. 1st off claim also 1st time Lasix – INLCUDE
#6 Paladio – Pass
#7 Crazy Shot – Competed with much tougher in last two races – Dont like the way he drops anchor he know he is going to be passed. – PASS
#8 Heather’s Gold – Will compete for the lead but will not be able to sustain – Pass.
- Majority of these newly turned 3 year olds are receiving Lasix for the 1st time.
- SELECTIONS 3 and 5
RACE 9 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 35000n2L FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
#1 Obstinate – Pass.
#2 Come Storming – Another runner trained by Maker that you can just see the light coming on any day now – INCLUDE
#3 Spin Your Partner – When looked in the eye has not shown the ability to last. Pass
#4 Kitten’s Finest – Nothing Here to suggest a win – Pass
#5 Pardon My Heart – Has been really close in her last two average paced races if she gets a setup, which is projected – INCLUDE.
#6 Twilight – Hard trying Mare that continues to be ‘close but no Cigar’ – Small barn. Average Jockey – Pass.
#7 Makisupa – Broke her maiden last time out after a long layoff with a pedestrian speed figure. Timid Pass.
#8 Candy Flower Front running Filly who pace figures show that she will be up on the lead – INCLUDE
#9 Memphis Showboat – Beaten by weaker in her last two – Average jock assignment – Pass.
#10 Gypsy Wife – Not a win candidate
#11 Kelleycanrun – Mare does her best running from off the pace – but will have to be put into the race a little sooner than I would like – and with the addition of blinkers and Paco Lopez – will take the starch out – Timid Pass.
- SELECTIONS 2 and 5 and 8
RACE 10 5 Furlongs (Turf) MC $20K FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
#1 Smarty J and B -pass
#2 Fake I D – pass
#3 Tarquin – pass
#4 Hay Lad – pass
#5 Make a Move -pass
#6 Blakenstein – Second time starter – 1st time one the Turf – Luis Saez gets the call. INCLUDE
#7 Joyful Surprise – Has shown early speed at longer distances cuts back to 5 – Trainer not great with newly trainees. Timid INCLUDE
#8 Discreet Tune – Pace figures fit – Switches to a high % Jockey – INCLUDE
#9 Romario – Pass
#10 Grand Union – has finished 2nd in his last two outings at this same level – Timid Pass.
- SELECTIONS 6 and 7 and 8
Overall not a bad Pick 5 sequence to play. Base play of $81. Modify based on your thoughts of value and bankroll.
John Pinder Twitter: @HorsePlayer31
Let’s make it happen!!!