On the Horizon – Gulfstream (Thursday) 01.28.2021 – John Pinder

On the Horizon – Gulfstream (Thursday) 01.28.2021

 

Quick reflection from yesterday:

We missed on one leg of the Pick 4.  Our top selection in that race was the post time favorite and opened up to lead by 6 lengths, THEN the strides got shorter and the lead got reduced to a third place finish.

Today’s Late Pick 4 Sequence:

Race 7:  7½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 16000n1y Purse $23,000 (includes $3,000 FHBPA-FOA –
FHBPA Florida Owners Awards) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE
NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 28, 2020.

#1 Dr. Shane – Second attempt at this level and distance after finishing a solid second last time out.  Rail draw will require some race riding.  Top Notch Connections – Timid INLCUDE

#2 Pagliacci – Mid Pack runner that lacks a good closing kick – Pass.

#3Examiner – Dropping into the claiming ranks after two sub par outings.  IF (BIG IF) could turn back form could very well take this field from gate to wire. Long shot – Timid INCLUDE

#4 J P Hellish – Based on trainer changes and distinctly different running styles, this 5 year old is a difficult read.  Last time out was third in the form cycle and got beaten late. Timid INCLUDE.

#5 Farley – Consistent 7 year-old who could really use the 1/2 Furlong that the mile race provides; today going 7.5F – This one is like my mother in law; Hard to include, Hard to leave out. Timid Pass.

#6 Espresso Caliente – Pass.

#7 Majestic Luna – Pass.

#8 Outshine – Pass.

#9 Basha – Another late runner that would be better served going longer. Pass.

SELECTIONS: 1 and 3 and 4

Race 8:  1 Mile. Alw 30000s Purse $34,000 (includes $5,000 FHBPA-FOA – FHBPA Florida
Owners Awards) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR
A CLAIMING PRICE OF $30,000 OR LESS SINCE JULY 1, 2019.

#1 Quenane – The only horse in the contest that has a closers mindset – Timid INCLUDE

#2 Well Defined – Won against serval of today’s competitors last time out with a game effort.  Timid INCLUDE

#3 Glory of Florida – Mid pack runner that will add to the push up front – lacks the ability to finish well. Timid Pass.

#4 Like You – Will find it difficult to make the front, his most effective style, in a race with so much early speed.  Timid Pass

#5 Storm Runner – Trainer and Rider are both off to slower starts overall but they are solid professionals; I believe they could get back to the winner’s circle with this one. INCLUDE

#6 Fort Peck – Getting a back to the one turn mile could help this gelding maintain his early speed, but there are stronger runners who have not shown the propensity to fade. Pass.

SECELTIONS: 1 and 2 and 5

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 20000s Purse $31,000 (includes $5,000 FHBPA-FOA –
FHBPA Florida Owners Awards) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND
UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS
SINCE JULY 1, 2019.

#1 Cat’s Astray – Need the lead type who draws the rail in a competitive field.  Pass.

#2 Katieleigh – Pass.

#3 Sanity – Closer type in a 5 Furlong sprint of the turf, much to do today. Pass.

#4 Payntdembluesaway – Lots of Speed – 2 for 3 at Gulfstream – must INCLUDE

#5 Swirling Candy – Figures are a little light. Pass.

#6 Gregs Posse – 2nd career start for small barn. Timid Pass.

#7 Kiffle – Has good early speed and being on the outside could avoid any traffic and have open space to get home.  INCLUDE

SELECTIONS: 4 and 7

Race 10 1 Mile & 1/16 . (Turf) Clm 16000n1y Purse $23,000 (includes $3,000 FHBPA-FOA –
FHBPA Florida Owners Awards) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE
NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 28, 2020.

#1 Totono – Pass.

#2 Didnt Do It – Pass.

#3 Playing Hooky – 2nd start for new trainer and 2nd of the layoff – Timid INCLUDE 

#4 Another – Gets Irad in the irons and has show the ability to come running late – those two factors along make this one dangerous. INCLUDE

#5 Derby Champagne – Evenly paced runner that can come running late – not excited about his changes today. Timid Pass.

#6 Gearhead – was down on the inside last time attempting to save ground and came running too late.  With a better trip this time he is an INCLUDE

#7 Prince of Arabia – Gets to a distance where here his ability to close effectively could be very valuable. INCLUDE

#8 Twenty Four Seven – Returns to GP after two races at Tampa -has been close and charging at the end of his last two at this level just can’t make a legit case. Timid Pass.

#9 Bow Tie Affair – Figures are a little light. Pass.

#10 Battle of Blenheim – Has ability but has yet to get the job done at this level in his last 4 attempts.  Timid Pass.

#11 Lahinch – Always difficult, for me, to envision a turf runner on extreme outside post getting a perfect trip.  Could he win, yes, but the odds are against. Timid Pass.

SELECTIONS: 3 and 4 and 6 and 7

Today’s horizonal wager summary is as follows:

Race 7: SELECTIONS: 1 and 3 and /  Race 8: SECELTIONS: 1 and 2 and 5 /  Race 9: SELECTIONS: 4 and /  Race 10: SELECTIONS: 3 and 4 and 6 and 7

Let’s Make it Happen!!!

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