Parx Analysis for Wednesday, February 24th

Playing Parx today? Check out today’s piece by Andrew Rdesinski

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Parx Racing 2/24/21

 

Race 1- 1M 70Yards CLM12500N2L

 

Picks- 3-4-5

#3 Bundi Bundi seems to be the early speed choice here and is getting to go over the Parx surface for the 2nd time today. He had a bad start last time out and finished a distant second. He faces a weak field today and I think he can go gate to wire.

#4 Wye Mumbo comes to Parx for the first time. This gelding is dropping in class and facing a lot weaker today which is helpful. Claudio Gonzalez is ice cold so far this year at Parx but I think this is a race where he can win and turn his luck around. He could be sent early and duel with the #3 Bundi Bundi but I’m hoping he’s sitting close.

#5 Spaceman hasn’t done much since his MSW victory as a 2yo. This is the weakest field he has faced since his MSW days or ever to be honest. He should be well rested 2nd off the layoff and the drop in class paired along with the possible pace collapse lined up today should set this horse up perfectly to be a contender. 

 

Race 2- 6F CLM12500N2L

 

Picks- 5-3-6

#5 Hazels Little Man is my top pick in this really weak and wide open field. He is finally facing a restricted company which is what he needs and Jamie Ness brings him here to Parx and puts Ruben Silvera aboard hoping for a victory. I think he can get to the lead or press the leaders early on. 

#3 Dial a Lady is now training at Parx and being brought to Parx from Gulfstream Park. She didn’t show much at GP but I think today she will be facing weaker and I think she might actually like the deeper surface at Parx. She is a filly facing the boys which is very unusual in racing but I think that makes her even more intriguing here. Why would they want to put this horse against the boys especially when they are dropping in class. Either they want a race over the track, or they think she is training well enough to win against anyone at this level. 

#6 Let’s Workout is shipping in from NY for Rudy Rodriguez and is dropping into a restricted company for the first time ever so I think this is key. He also is getting blinkers off again after they tried to improve last time out with the addition of blinkers but actually regressed in form. I think he just isn’t as good as the connections previously thought but I think he can compete much better at this level.

 

Race 3- 1M 1/16th CLM7500N1Y

 

Picks- 6-4-5

#6 Three Phase should be flying late down the stretch. Three Phase was just claimed off of Pat Farro for Claudio Gonzalez who is 31% off the claim. The connections are staying at this level and I like that. He can sit close to the leaders if not go to the lead early on if the pace is slow. I think he has a real shot here today.

#4 Worth His Salt should be the leader early today with the apprentice. He just lost to Miami Tiger who is also in this race but he was challenged early on which led to him quitting and flattening out. I think the less weight and possible lone speed should help here today.

#5 Asphalt Paving hasn’t won in the last 18 starts but is finally dropping back to this level in which he almost won at sprinting back in January. Mychel Sanchez chooses to ride this gelding today which is an upgrade in my book. 

 

Race 4- 6F CLM5000N2Y

 

Picks- 8-6-9

#8 Princess Areni is in great form currently and towers over this field when it comes to that. She is looking for her 5th straight win since March of last year. This is the 2nd race off the layoff for this horse and that means she should improve even more off that dominant win last time out. She will be the favorite but I think she wins this race.

#6 Sizzling Roma just won last time out against tougher and lost her condition by winning her for the 4th time in her life. She is coming off a career best beyer and I think her dropping to a lower level should help her improve off that number. 

#9 Sally O’Prado was claimed last time out for Scott Lake and is back running in the same level which is normal these days. She seems to be a bit of a hanger but still a fighter nonetheless. I think she will be a solid horse to use underneath in exotics and could surprise here at 6/1 ML.

 

Race 5- 6F CLM12500N4L

 

Picks- 6-5-4

#6 Your Pal should be on the lead early and just won last time in the same race but against N3L company. I think she also has the advantage of being in good form as of recent. She was game last time out and I think today if she has that same grit, no one will catch her down the stretch.

#5 Lady Magica is in for Jamie Ness and is dropping in class today from open company. Last time she faced this condition she finished a close 2nd. She hasn’t won in her last 9 starts but hopefully start 10 is when she does.

#4 Fleeterthan was cross entered with Monday’s card but Monday’s card was cancelled so I’m guessing this is the spot they have to run in without a choice. Michael Moore just claimed this horse last time out in the same condition and is running her back today at the same level. This mare gets Angel Castillo aboard who is familiar with her. He won a race on her against Allowance company back in 2019 for Lou Linder so I’m hoping today he can get her back to the winner’s circle again.

 

Race 6- 6F OC25k/SAL25k

 

Picks- 7-2-1

#7 Hay Nineteen just beat half of this field last time out even though she finished 2nd in that race. This Ten Strike filly for Juan Carlos Guerrero seems to have the most talent in this field and is sitting on a big effort. She dueled all the way around last time out and still fought for 2nd. Today I think she can get the lead from the outside post and make the rest of the field catch her.

#2 Exogen is shipping in from Florida where she was running for Kelly Breen. Now she is in the Miguel Penaloza barn who is starting to heat up with winning a stake in Laurel over the weekend. Exogen was facing tougher before this race and earned some well needed rest after her 2yo campaign. She returns to the races as a 3yo and attracted the top jockey to ride today. 

#1 Going Going Gone is 2nd off the layoff and in her first start back had nowhere to go on the turn which cost her some momentum. I think she is sitting on a big effort as well as she almost beat my top selection here in Hay Nineteen. Hopefully she gets a cleaner trip on the rail today.

 

Race 7- 7F CLM 8K

 

Picks- 8-4-6

#8 Thousand Percent is coming back to Parx after trying to beat an open 10k at AQU. This is the lowest she has run at since losing her condition back on January 5th of this year. She gets Angel Rodriguez back aboard and the class relief which should help him win again. Joe Taylor is on fire lately and I think he should be sitting close pressing the leaders waiting for his time to run by them.

#4 Legacy’s Prince is a horse not only I like but TheStaggieMan likes too. Go follow him on twitter. I like this horse because Howard Brown Jr. has been firing on all cylinders and on top of that should be flying late. The racetrack currently is favoring horses close to or on the lead but some closers did make up ground in the slop yesterday. Today the track should be more dried out but the speed should still be holding. That being said, if the pace collapses, this is the horse I want my money on down the stretch, especially with Mychel Sanchez aboard.

#6 Luvinmeiseasy is dropping back in for a tag for Danny Velazquez. This is the cheapest he has run for in quite some time and since Danny Velazquez started training him. Frankie Pennington is the usual jockey for him and returns today which I like. I think he will be around late to determine who wins this race.

 

Race 8- 1M 70Yards CLM7500N4L

 

Picks- 8-5-1

#8 Grand Oasis was just claimed by Danny Velazquez who also owns this horse now which is huge. Danny does great off the claim and the fact he bought this horse for himself makes me like him even more. Adorno gets the call today which is typical for Danny to do. The race this horse is coming out of was deep as hell. I think this horse is much the best today.

#5 Boston Light just won last time out for N3L company and has to step up in condition today because of that. Jamie Ness had this horse ready to go last time out and most likely will have him ready today too on the quick turnaround. If he can get a similar trip as to last time out, I can see him winning again today.

#1 Speed Syndrome hasn’t shown much lately and is getting much needed class relief in my eyes. Angel Castillo hops aboard today and the horse is returning to a fast surface which he prefers. I think Pino will have him where he needs to be physically and the class relief might be all he needs to improve.

 

Race 9- 6 ½ F OC25K/SAL25K

 

Picks- 5-2-1

#5 Southern Bridge is first off the claim for Jamie Ness which hits at 34% with this angle. Ness is jumping up in class with this horse and Frankie Pennington keeps the mount. This will also be 2nd time blinkers which is huge and I think overall this horse just towers over this field. 

#2 Mr. Roundtree loves to run 2nd. At 9/5 ML I wouldn’t bet this horse on top at all but would love to have him 2nd. He seems to have his timing wrong in each race. Whether he makes his move too early or too late but always finds a way to finish 2nd. I think he is a must use underneath. 

#1 El Fenomeno just dominated at Penn National against N2L but for 25K. He jumps up in class off that performance and should be the controlling early speed. I think he is another horse who likes to hang around for minor awards but if he gets the lead by himself, today could be the day he wins 2 in a row. 

 

Race 10- 6 ½ F ALW8000s

 

Picks- 5-11-7

#5 Factor This In has been running at this level for quite some time for Jamie Ness. Town Jak who is also in this race but not one of my top 3 picks just narrowly beat Factor This In last time out. I think today might be the day Factor This In finally bests this group who he has been facing a lot lately. 

#11 Flashy Kyem has also been facing this same field multiple times as of late and is regressing in form. However, he improved in finishes over the last 2 races and I think today could be the day he can put it all together to earn his 9th win of his career. Hopefully he isn’t steadied like he was last time out.

#7 Postino’s Vow is my longshot in this race. Laprida takes over the riding duties today and this horse has been bad as of late. However, the return to this level is key as last time this horse faced this company he finished 2nd at 6/1. I think he is more of a sprinter and just has been in really bad form as of late. I think the drop in distance and a jockey like Laprida are both positives and I can’t pass up this horse at 15/1 ML.

 

Race 11- 1 M CLM7500N2L

 

Picks- 4-8-9

#4 Grays the Bar should be on the lead here today and I would be confused if he isn’t. He just ran last time out 9 days ago against the same field sprinting and was very even. I think the added distance should be beneficial because he won’t need to use all his stamina early on. However, if he doesn’t get the lead he might not be a factor here so hopefully the apprentice can get the lead.

#8 City Guy is another horse who should be sent to the lead early on. He ran very poorly last time out but I blame the fact he never could get the lead and just gave up. He seems to only compete when he gets the lead so hopefully he does that today.

#9 Woodhaven Kid is my price play here even though he is only 6/1 ML. He had a troubled trip last time out and still managed to earn a 3rd place finish. I think if he gets a better trip today he will have enough horse to win. If you watch his most recent race a week ago, he almost dropped and still managed to finish in the money. Today if he runs that way and stays out of trouble, he will win.

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