Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 5-Pretty Rena (Race #9)
Race #1: 4-Awesome Rhythm just came up a head short when nailed at the wire in last start when switching to the grass and goes 2nd off the claim for trainer Paul Aguirre this afternoon. This gelding makes the all-important 3rd career start and projects to be forwardly placed. 1-Precedent comes out of the same race as top choice. He was away slowly while making his debut and trailed the field early. The 3-year-old gelding by top sire Into Mischief made up significant ground in the stretch run and galloped out well. Improvement likely. 5-Curly Esa was 2nd at this level on grass the end of January and is a logical fit in today’s opener off the mini-freshening.
Race #2: 1-Fury Kap was a sharp winner at this distance two-back when returning off an extended layoff and drops in class today off even third place finish March 11. A strong 4-furlong blowout drill since then indicates he remains in good form. 6-McWherter has speed; is wheeled back off a week’s rest and picks up 10-pound apprentice for trainer Steve Miyadi. 7-Gerlach’s comes off a good 2nd against similar and now makes 1st start for new barn after being claimed from that effort. This outfit has won with two recent claims: Marie (3/20) and Starship Chewbacca (2/26).
Race #3: 3-Silardi has speed and shares the field’s best last turf Beyer (83) with Ultimate Bango. The 5-year-old gelding holds the recency edge over that rival and looms a serious wire-to-wire threat at this level. He wasn’t far behind next-out winning gelding Barristan The Bold. 1-Ian Glass is one of two Sadler runners lined up for this turf sprint. This 6-year-old gelding moves up off sharp win and is highly consistent over this grass course (7-4-1-1) 2-Ultimate Bango has been freshened since last victory for trainer Mark Glatt and has trained well for return.
Race #4: Golden Gate shipper 1-Justhappenlikethat owns the field’s best last out Beyer and stretches out this afternoon for trainer Jonathan Wong. The 3-year-old filly comes out of a productive race in Northern California. Hot Rockette returned to win. Miracle In Motion was runner-up and Cocorita finished 3rd. This filly gets in light with talented apprentice. 2-Harddiane has improved with each subsequent start and shows two decent drills since last try. 4-Mo Connelly beaten favorite in last pair but comes off a good second at today’s mile trip and makes key 3rd start off the layoff. This filly is likely to go favorite once again. Is third time a charm?
Race #5: 2-Maxim Moment southern California invader makes his 1st start for the Phil D’Amato barn. This conditioner is a strong 6 for 14 (43%) with a lofty $6.31 ROI with horses making their first start off the trainer switch while sprinting on grass at Santa Anita the past 3 years. Strong stats. 4-Ben’s a Goalie gets the complete makeover off the John Sadler claim and mini-freshening. The 4-year-old colt adds Lasix, Blinkers and switches to grass. He’s by G3 winner Grazen who get 19% winners with turf sprinter offspring according to DRF Formulator. Wire-to-wire threat. 6-Mo Them Down has lost last three as the public’s choice but has the most turf experience of this field.
Race #6: Beaten favorite 5-Shout It Out is one of two Jonathan Wong fillies going to post in here. This 4-year-old is only 1 for 17 but barn goes 2nd off the claim today and sports a solid 4 for 15 (27%) with this claiming angle. This jockey/trainer combo won with the veteran 8-year-old Storminside on March 20 with same maneuver. 3-Keep Your Coil is the projected front runner today and makes 2nd start at this reduced $12,500 claiming level off a decent runner-up effort. 1-Lila At the Beach makes 1st start for new barn and takes a significant class drop this afternoon.
Race #7: Recent Maiden winner 7-Self Isolation looks like the dominating speed once again facing winners for the first time. She earned a strong turf Beyer (80) for that victory. The lightly raced filly 2-Vivacious Vanessa drops in class; makes 3rd start off the layoff and has improving Beyer turf numbers. She has not been off the board in 4 career starts and has 3 nice drills since last start. 8-Big Clare prefers to finish underneath but drops in class today and makes 2nd start off the layoff for the D’Amato barn. She’ll make her typical stretch run late.
Race #8: The speedy 3-Pray for My Owner has run par for this level on multiple occasions and runs well fresh as shown by Maiden score last March. The barn is a strong 4 for 17 (24%) with horses returning off >180 days sprinting over the main track. 1-All Dialed In has never been off the board in 4 career starts and goes out for red-hot barn. 6-Luxury Liner is one of two Steve Miyadi fillies in here. She was a sharp winner at 7/1 off the layoff in last and is a solid 4 for 10 overall.
Race #9: 5-Pretty Rena cuts back to a sprint and returns to the $50k level of claim from two-back. This lucrative jockey/trainer combo are a strong 4 for 5 (80%) with $5.92 ROI the past 2 years with 2nd off the claim runners. This 3-year-old filly by More Than Ready shows a snappy “best of 66” 5-furlong drill for this and should break through the Maiden ranks this afternoon as the Day’s Best Bet. 9-Aventapp needs to draw in stuck on the AE’s but figures to have a strong chance if she does. She comes off a pair of runner-up finishes and is making 3rd start off the layoff for trainer Mark Glatt. 6-Twirling Grace is now making career start number 9 with 3 runner-up finishes on the resume. She owns the field’s best last-out turf Beyer (68), however, and should appreciate today’s cut back in distance.