Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 5-Acquired Class (Race #1)
Race #1: 5-Acquired Class is by multiple G2 winner Cairo Prince who go gets 14% grass sprint runners according to DRF Formulator, and debuts for barn that’s 4 for 10 (40%) with $4.02 ROI the past two years with new shooters. 6-Helladic is bred for turf and has trained well for unveiling. 3-T N T Nova barn scored with firster Good N Thirsty May 14.
Race #2: 2-Lunatic moves back to the main track where she’s been equally effective and posts 2 wins and 4 seconds from her last 6 starts. She has speed; drops in class and should dispose of these at very low odds. 3-Starship Defiant a good runner-up effort in last behind a next-out winner. 5-Back On the Street blinkers off for owner/trainer Mary Rowan.
Race #3: 3-Madiha has good positional speed and comes off back-to-back runner up efforts. 1-Carmen Miranda ran well enough in lone turf start back in February and makes the all-important 3rd start off the bench today for D’Amato. She projects to work out a decent trip from the rail. 5-Big Clare usually slugs up for part of the underneath exotics but rarely wins as evidenced by her career record (13-1-6-2).
Race #4: Likely short-priced favorite 5-Breakfast Ride goes dirt to turf; 2nd time Lasix and drops in to face claimers for the first time. The Sadler barn is 11 for 26 (42%) with a $3.06 ROI with this class plunge maneuver the past two years. 2-Tahoe Secrets adds blinkers on the class drop for career start number two and this 3-year-old gelding is by G1 winner Secret Circle. He showed good early zip in debut. 1-Maxim Moment drops and makes 2nd start off the layoff for top barn.
Race #5: A tricky N1X turf sprint we’ll try 6-Hot Box who has not been seen since last Del Mar win back in July but has been training well for return and appears to be the speed of the speed for Koriner. Recent Maiden winner 5-Trainer Please has run extremely well over this turf course coming off Maiden-winning score and owns the field’s best last-out turf Beyer (81). 1-Houndstooth goes turf to dirt off the recent Maiden score and makes first start for new barn off the claim.
Race #6: 6-Work to Live was a runaway Maiden winner March 12 and has since returned to fire a “best of 67” 4-furlong bullet drill in preparation for this. 1-Pequena Tormenta has speed; the rail and defeated a next-out winner when breaking Maiden March 27. This 4-year-old filly appears well-spotted for first try against winners. 3-Loma Vista her first try against winners was solid.
Race #7: 7-Ko Samui is one of two 3-year-old geldings trained by Phil D’Amato. This gelding comes off a decent 2nd place try and now cuts back in distance off the mini freshening. The gelding gets a key rider change today to Hernandez. Golden Gate shipper 1-Cowboy Charlie has speed and the rail and should appreciate today’s cut back in distance. The two-time winner adds blinkers today. 3-Il Capitano returns to the Southern California making his 2nd start off the claim for Miyadi which has typically been a solid angle for this conditioner. This colt also cuts back in distance returning to turf on the class drop.
Race #8: 9-Big Rosie must negotiate the outside draw but has good speed to get decent early position and goes 2nd off the claim for Mulhall. This lucrative jockey/trainer combo click close to 40% with this claiming angle. The filly makes her 2nd start on Lasix and 2nd start off the layoff. 8-Squillions adds blinkers off troubled trip April 17 and deserves another look at this reduced level. 7-Acoustic Shadow is now 0 for 12 with 4 runner-up finishes but has consistently run faster than most of these on grass. This 5-year-old mare is tough to trust, however, at likely short odds.