Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 6-Ruthies Racer (Race #2)
Race #1: 3-Letsgetlucky projects to sit a cozy trip behind speedster Midnight Somewhere who ships in from Los Al and is drawn towards outside. This 4-year-old gelding was a good second in lone grass try last spring and takes a substantial class plunge this afternoon for trainer Brian Koriner. 7-Hail Freedom was a beaten favorite in last when making 1st start against winners but has been extremely consistent overall on the turf sprinting. 4-Caerulean has been sidelined for nearly 4 months but has run well fresh and has good tactical turf speed to ensure a good position early on.
Race #2: 6-Ruthies Racer ships back in from Los Al off a 4th place effort against cheaper where she finished up well and galloped out nicely. This 4-year-old filly makes her 2nd start off the claim for trainer Lorenzo Ruis who is 25 for 54 (46%) with this maneuver, and a tremendous 6 for 7 (86%) with a lofty $7.85 with today’s pilot. Win or lose you rarely see trainer stats so productive. 1-Scream and Shout runner-up in last; drops in class today and has speed from the rail. This 5-year-old mare also owns the field’s best last-out Beyer speed figure. 5-Season to Remember back-to-back runner-up finishes make her a logical threat with these.
Race #3: 5-Perfecto Amor drops back to $16k claiming level from two-back and is projected to lead these early in a race that traditionally favors front runners. This gelding should get slow splits to help carry her zip for today’s mile journey. 2-Mongolian Legend beaten favorite takes much needed sizable class drop but is only 1 for 26 lifetime and is tough to endorse with much confidence. 1-Granada Flavor recent Maiden winner draws inside and fits well in here making his first start against winners.
Race #4: 1-Cool Acclaim was off slowly in debut spotting the field about 3 to 4 lengths before rushing up into contention along the inside at the halfway mark. The 3-year-old first time gelding ran on rather well in the stretch despite the tough trip, and is a BIG threat today with any normal 2nd out improvement and a clean getaway. D’Amato and Prat are a strong 7 for 17 (41%) with 2nd time starters on the grass. 3-Erebus is 0 for 10 but has run two solid tries on the turf at this level. 7-Bravestone showed little in lone turf try last January but is bred to handle the grass; has speed, and has run competitive main track figures.
Race #5: 5-Martini Mischief by prolific sire Into Mischief and debuts off encouraging work tab for Baffert/Velasquez who are 7 for 10 (70%) with $3.28 ROI the past 3 years with debut runners. 3-Musica holds the experience edge for trainer Mark Glatt after a strong runner-up try and solid Beyer number in January 29 unveiling when ignored at 23/1. 6-American Heights has good speed; draws outside and makes her 2nd start off the bench today after already running par for this level two-back when just missing. Logical fit as the lone 4-year-old in the field.
Race #6: 4-Commander Khai has been freshened; adds blinkers today and has been working swiftly in the a.m. (including 3 consecutive bullet drills) for trainer Richard Baltas. Wire-to-wire threat. 7-Swiss Swoo cuts back in distance and makes the all-important 3rd start off the bench today. His sprint effort two-back earned him a strong (80) Beyer and he finished just behind next-out winner Cotopaxi. 5-Cherubic Factor beaten favorite makes his 2nd start off the bench today and looms a BIG threat with any improvement. He’ll be running along late once again.
Race #7: Recent Maiden winner 6-Quick Buck loses Prat today but gets very capable replacement in veteran Velasquez and could be good enough to win back-to-back making 1st try vs. winners off sharp debut. This 3-year-old gelding is nicely drawn outside and will be forwardly placed once again. 4-What In Blazes adds Lasix today and drops out of the G2 San Vicente where he finished a disappointing last of 5. The colt’s first two tries at Del Mar, however, were very sharp to start career. 2-Franklin One Star goes turf to dirt for O’Neil making 2nd start on Lasix and should relish the return to the main track. Selections: 6-4-2
Race #8: The lightly-raced Irish import 9-Rhea Moon must overcome an outside draw but makes her 1st start for trainer Phil D’Amato and Prat who click close to 40% with these foreign shippers making their US unveiling. The filly has trained well and is by a multiple G1 winner. 1-Annie’s Song beaten favorite loses Prat today but just missed by a neck in last; draws the favorable rail slot and shares the field’s best last-out grass Beyer. Obvious threat. 5-Granola Girl stretches back out to a mile for Baltas and should be more forwardly placed today. The 3-year-old filly picks up her 6th different jockey this afternoon.